(11-09-2017, 12:01 AM)pulsedk Wrote:So....what you are saying is ER is clearly RIGGING THE SIM AND SHOULD BE BANNED.

I'm new so I'm sorry if this isn't the proper way to blame ER for rigging.

(11-09-2017, 01:01 AM)timeconsumer Wrote:What does you watching Er have to do with anything? When the sim gods fuck someone, it's just the nature of the beast. But I'd hate for someone to be on the Yeti and feel like it's a hopeless waste of time when really they had a good shot at winning that game. This is here so people can see the true power of teams, not one random result.

(11-09-2017, 12:13 AM)timeconsumer Wrote:This is more about the point differentials than the win rates. There's only 25 games in this sample. Just for you boys I went to 100 just now for Outlaws @ Otters:

Otters: 31.2
Outlaws: 17.1

Otters 86 Wins
Outlaws 13 Wins
1 Tie.

So 86%, pretty close.

(11-09-2017, 12:21 AM)ErMurazor Wrote:@ADwyer87 Please delete this comment

(11-09-2017, 03:50 AM)ADwyer87 Wrote:interesting, our test sims were at 60% so idk

(11-09-2017, 01:36 PM)bovovovo Wrote:I had been doing this for Wraiths games but it's really cool to see it done for all of them.

Curious question, what's your line between a "coin flip" and a clear favorite in a game?

I ask because you have the Hawks losing a game they had a 64% chance of winning as "getting fucked" when in my opinion a 64% chance of winning is not close sure thing... I'd personally put it at 70-75% I think

I know when we test to prepare, I don't feel comfortable unless we're in the 80s lol

(11-09-2017, 12:50 PM)timeconsumer Wrote:This is less about win percentages and more about point spreads. A coin flip is about a 1-3 point spread game. The Hawks got fucked because their point differential was -8 when the larger sample showed they should have been a 6.5 point favorite.