*Analysis of the Sim Gods - Printable Version

*Analysis of the Sim Gods - Printable Version

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*Analysis of the Sim Gods - timeconsumer - 09-09-2018

And we're back with a quick analysis of week 2 results to see how the sim results stack up to our 50 game resims to see if we can discern if some teams long too strong, too weak, or are just downright lucky or unlucky.

So first things first, here were the scores for the games this week.

[Image: n0rcklj.png]

Now here were my 50 resim results:

Yellowknife with 25.7 points over Arizona with 20.6 points for a 64% win rate and a 5.1 point spread.

Baltimore with 27.6 points over Colorado with 23.6 points for a 62% win rate and a 4 point spread.

NOLA with 25.3 points over Orange County with 20 points for a 64% win rate and a 5.3 point spread.

Philly with 22.1 points (barely) over San Jose with 21.8 points for a 58% win rate and a 0.3 point spread. I don't know if this is enough to call this a win in the table or not but I don't want a bunch of ties. Philly wins.

Here is your table:

[Image: lO6i79v.png]

Fun Fact for the Week:

Fitzpatrick's unreal 83% accuracy this game met an expected regression to the mean as he attempted 1682 passes in his 50 games for 1032 completions resulting in an average passing accuracy of 61.4%

*Analysis of the Sim Gods - kckolbe - 09-09-2018

I can't believe Baltimore was actually expected to win over Colorado. Also surprised PHI won in the re-sims, though I guess with it being that close I shouldn't be. And yeah, I was lucky as shit.

*Analysis of the Sim Gods - timeconsumer - 09-09-2018

(09-09-2018, 10:04 PM)kckolbe Wrote:I can't believe Baltimore was actually expected to win over Colorado. Also surprised PHI won in the re-sims, though I guess with it being that close I shouldn't be. And yeah, I was lucky as shit.

Philly "won"

*Analysis of the Sim Gods - manicmav36 - 09-10-2018

(09-09-2018, 09:04 PM)kckolbe Wrote:I can't believe Baltimore was actually expected to win over Colorado.

*Analysis of the Sim Gods - majesiu - 09-10-2018

sim gods are not merciful

*Analysis of the Sim Gods - kckolbe - 09-10-2018

(09-10-2018, 01:34 PM)majesiu Wrote:sim gods are not merciful

They've been amazingly kind to you. Not only has your player kicked ass, but you picked me in fantasy and I have done a lot better than expected.

*Analysis of the Sim Gods - kckolbe - 09-10-2018

(09-10-2018, 12:57 PM)manicmav36 Wrote:

I get team pride, but for a team with a projected winning record and considered to be a possible contender isn't even favored at home is pretty surprising.

*Analysis of the Sim Gods - manicmav36 - 09-10-2018

(09-10-2018, 03:53 PM)kckolbe Wrote:I get team pride, but for a team with a projected winning record and considered to be a possible contender isn't even favored at home is pretty surprising.

From a quick look it is, but even my pre-season testing showed us winning around 65% of the time in CO. It certainly helps they haven't changed their strats this season yet.

*Analysis of the Sim Gods - majesiu - 09-10-2018

(09-10-2018, 09:52 PM)kckolbe Wrote:They've been amazingly kind to you. Not only has your player kicked ass, but you picked me in fantasy and I have done a lot better than expected.

3 Interceptions in 1 game, after having 2 in 50 games is not being kind, if anything it's just another level of cruelty since probably similar 50 games span awaits me.

*Analysis of the Sim Gods - run_CMC - 09-10-2018

(09-10-2018, 03:59 PM)manicmav36 Wrote:From a quick look it is, but even my pre-season testing showed us winning around 65% of the time in CO. It certainly helps they haven't changed their strats this season yet.