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*Analysis of the Sim Gods - timeconsumer - 09-11-2018

Hello and welcome to week three's Analysis of the Sim Gods where it is once again time to resim every game 50 times in order to get a better idea of power rankings in the league with a sample size larger than one game.

Here are the official box scores from week 3:

[Image: wwPL3TA.png]

And here are the resim results:

Baltimore with 32.7 points over Arizona with 13.9 points for a 96% win rate and a 18.9 point spread. Yes I'm serious Kolbe.

NOLA with 34.5 points over Yellowknife with 18.8 points for a 86% and a 15.6 point spread.

Orange County with 35 points over Philly with 12.5 points for a 94% win rate and a 22.5 point spread.

Colorado with 32.6 points over San Jose with 12.3 points for a 74% win rate and a 12.3 point spread.

So no major upsets here, everything basically shaking out as we expected for week 3. Yellowknife played a closer game than the numbers suggest they should have.

And here is our table of Official Results vs Resims, sorted by point differentials.

[Image: uRdh0wW.png]


*Analysis of the Sim Gods - Beaver - 09-11-2018

Interesting as always. Been far too chalk so far, I can feel a big week of upsets brewing.


*Analysis of the Sim Gods - kckolbe - 09-11-2018

(09-11-2018, 12:54 PM)Beaver Wrote:Interesting as always. Been far too chalk so far, I can feel a big week of upsets brewing.

What are you talking about? There were two major upsets last night, both in the same game!


And @timeconsumer, fully believe you, your numbers were about what we tested as well. If I had a decent Arm attribute, we might have had a decent chance, but BAL matches up very well against us on top of being at home and just a much better team.