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+---- Thread: *S20 Playoff Odds (/showthread.php?tid=18244)
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*S20 Playoff Odds - infinitempg - 02-13-2020
Sorry if I sniped you, @goodfortunecoffee!
I ran 100 sims of each of the 15 possible games in this playoff, and this is what I got:
[div align=\\\"center\\\"]
![[Image: unknown.png]](https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/563201469788979220/677591388589785155/unknown.png)
[/div]I'll post the individual odds for each game at the end of this article, but it's interesting to note that despite being the #1 seed in the ASFC, the sim does not predict Austin to make it to the Ultimus. Also - if the Wraiths were to lose, the ASFC owns homefield advantage regardless of if the Yeti or the Hawks emerge from the NSFC.
--
Wild Card
(-4.62) v 
63% 
(-5.71) v 
69%Championships
(-6.75) v 66% (-5.3) v 65%
v (-3.53) 60% v (-0.45) 58%Ultimus
(-9.3) v 73% (-2.37) v 59% (-3.14) v 56% (-2.1) v 54% (-1.2) v 54% (-6.33) v 70% (-8.35) v 72% (-6.44) v 67% (-8.57) v 75%
*S20 Playoff Odds - Raven - 02-13-2020
![[Image: wpid-wp-1442608344718.jpeg]](https://vjohnstonbooks.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/wpid-wp-1442608344718.jpeg)
*S20 Playoff Odds - goodfortunecoffee - 02-13-2020
Nice! This is way better looking than what i was doing
*S20 Playoff Odds - infinitempg - 02-13-2020
(02-13-2020, 04:06 PM)Raven Wrote:
Honestly (and this is something I'll probably check) those odds are better than the odds of Chicago winning those 4 specific games lol
*S20 Playoff Odds - Duilio05 - 02-13-2020
(02-13-2020, 04:14 PM)goodfortunecoffee Wrote:Nice! This is way better looking than what i was doing
Post yours anyways. then we can combine the %s from both.
*S20 Playoff Odds - speculadora - 02-13-2020
very depresso looking at how much those last 3 games cost us
*S20 Playoff Odds - timeconsumer - 02-13-2020
(02-13-2020, 06:43 PM)speculadora Wrote:very depresso looking at how much those last 3 games cost us
HFA means nothing. Ask me how I know this sometime.
*S20 Playoff Odds - Bigred1580 - 02-13-2020
![[Image: image0.png]](https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/603694959828271110/677619518759239721/image0.png)
Nice!!
*S20 Playoff Odds - Rising Equinox - 02-13-2020
We've had worse odds before
*S20 Playoff Odds - run_CMC - 02-13-2020
7.93% chance...... I can work with these odds