![[DEV] ISFL Forums](http://dev.sim-football.com/forums/images/emerald/logo.png "[DEV] ISFL Forums"){kind=logo}
+- [DEV] ISFL Forums (http://dev.sim-football.com/forums)
+-- Forum: Community (http://dev.sim-football.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?fid=5)
+--- Forum: Media (http://dev.sim-football.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?fid=37)
+---- Forum: Graded Articles (http://dev.sim-football.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?fid=38)
+---- Thread: *Chris' Casino Roundup: Week 4 (/showthread.php?tid=21995)
*Chris' Casino Roundup: Week 4 - PointGod - 05-11-2020
[div align=\\\"center\\\"]Welcome to Chris' Casino Analysis, I'm your host, Chris Ramos, aka PointGod. I have been betting at the NSFL Casino since it started, with mixed results so far. After losing some money, I figured the best way to gain it back is to write about how the casino has gone down so far for people who have been patronizing it. I will be writing these articles one casino day or NSFL week at a time, so be sure to check back here to see the results each week. I will link each past article here as well for ease of accessibility. Of course, this is the first one so there is nothing yet.
We are starting off with Week 4, which was the first week the NSFL Casino was open. These were the available bets for Week 4:
Spreads
-5.5 (-200) at 
+5.5 (+125)
-2.5 (-142) at 
+2.5 (+200)
+9.5 (+250) at 
-9.5 (-333)Over/Unders
at 
- O/U 48.5 points combined (+100) at - O/U 49.5 points combined (+100)
at 
- O/U 39.5 points combined (+100)For anyone unaware of how betting works, I'll break it down for you in the simplest terms possible. For example, if you bet on the Copperheads +5.5, they have to win or at least not lose by six points. It is as if the game is starting Copperheads 5.5, Second Line 0. Betting on a team that is "getting" points, or has a plus sign next to their odds will be a more profitable return if you win, considering they are not favored to win the game. The Second Line/Copperheads game, in this case, $500k on New Orleans wins $250k in profit and $500k on Austin wins $625k in profit.
Ok, so before we look at who bet what and what the big plays of the night were, let us look at how these games ended up finishing. The Wraiths vs. Hawks game was not able to be wagered on and therefore I will not cover it. I will also list the total points scored in these games. Not every game had the chance to pick an over/under total, which is one of the major differences between this NSFL casino and an actual Sports Book in which you could theoretically bet on anything. However, the total points listed can help you get a feel of the sweet spots or averages of how many points were scored.
at 34 - 0 (34 total points)
at 24 - 17 (41 total points)
at 20 - 28 (48 total points)
at 17 - 23 (40 total points)
at 3 - 26 (29 total points)
Now, let's take a look at who bet what: (*note* wager amount is the same for each bet. It was set at 500K.) Over/unders pay out 1:1. The point spreads had a different pay scale which, again, I will not here in order to easily see how much people won and lost.
-5.5 (-200) at +5.5 (+125)$500k on New Orleans wins $250k in profit
$500k on Austin wins $625k in profit
-2.5 (-142) at +2.5 (+200)$500k on Philadelphia wins $352k in profit
$500k on Sarasota wins $1 million in profit
+9.5 (+250) at -9.5 (-333)$500k on San Jose wins $1.25 million in profit
$500k on Orange County wins $150k in profit.
@Frostbite
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Total wagered: 500 K
Total payout: 1.5 M
Total profit: 1 M
@FurFurFurson
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Liberty -2.5 (-142) DID NOT CASH
Total wagered: 1 M
Total payout: 1.125 M
Total profit: 125K
@`To12143`
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Sabercats: +9.5 (+250) CASHED 1.25 M
Yeti at Butchers - U 48.5 points combined (+100) CASHED 500 K
Secondline at Copperheads - O 49.5 points combined (+100) DID NOT CASH
Hahalua: at Outlaws - U 39.5 points combined (+100) DID NOT CASH
Total Wagered: 3 M
Total payout: 5.375 M
Total profit: 2.375 M
@RainDelay
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Hahalua at Outlaws - U 39.5 points combined (+100) DID NOT CASH
Yeti at Butchers - U 48.5 points combined (+100) CASHED 500 K
Total wagered: 1.5 M
Total payout: 2.5 M
Total profit: 1 M
@LimJahey
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Total wagered: 500 K
Total payout: 1.5 M
Total profit: 1 M
@goodfortunecoffee
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Yeti at Butchers - U 48.5 points combined (+100) CASHED 500 K
Secondline at Copperheads - O 49.5 points combined (+100) DID NOT CASH
Hahalua at Outlaws - O 39.5 points combined (+100) CASHED 500 K
Total wagered: 2.5 M
Total payout: 4.625 M
Total profit: 2.125 M
@Billybolo53
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Sabercats +9.5 (+250) CASHED 1.25 M
Total wagered: 1.5 M
Total payout: 4.375 M
Total profit: 2.875 M
@Sylphreni
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Total wagered: 500 K
Total payout: 1.125 M
Total profit: 625 K
@Kyle
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Total wagered: 500 K
Total payout: 1.125 M
Total profit: 625 K
@Daybe
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Sabercats +9.5 (+250) CASHED 1.25 M
Total wagered: 1.5 M
Total payout: 4.375 M
Total profit: 2.875 M
@PMoney
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Total wagered: 500 K
Total payout: 1.5 M
Total profit: 1 M
@Cheech65
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Total wagered: 500 K
Total payout: 1.5 M
Total profit: 1 M
@benstackinpaper
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Hahalua at Outlaws - O 39.5 points combined (+100) CASHED 500 K
Total wagered: 1.5 M
Total payout: 3.625 M
Total profit: 2.125 M
@Thiath
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Total wagered: 500 K
Total payout: 1.5 M
Total profit: 1 M
@run_CMC
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Yeti at Butchers - U 48.5 points combined (+100) CASHED 500 K
Total wagered: 1 M
Total payout: 2.125 M
Total profit: 1.125 M
@Mooty99
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Total wagered: 500 K
Total payout: 1.125 M
Total profit: 625 K
@furiousPanda
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Total wagered: 500 K
Total payout: 1.5 M
Total profit: 1 M
@Nykonax
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Sabercats +9.5 (+250) CASHED 1.25 M
Total wagered: 1.5 M
Total payout: 4.375 M
Total profit: 2.875 M
PointGod (myself!)
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 MIL
Hahalua at Outlaws - U 39.5 points combined (+100) DID NOT CASH
Yeti at Butchers - U 48.5 points combined (+100) CASHED 500K
Total wagered: 1.5 M
Total payout: 2.5 M
Total profit: 1 M
@RansackTheUniverse
Copperheads +5.5 (+125) CASHED 625 K
Sailfish +2.5 (+200) CASHED 1 M
Yeti at Butchers - U 48.5 points combined (+100) CASHED 500 K
Secondline at Copperheads - O 49.5 points combined (+100) DID NOT CASH
Hahalua at Outlaws - U 39.5 points combined (+100) DID NOT CASH
Total wagered: 2.5 M
Total payout: 3.625 M
Total profit: 1.125 M
@Forty Jordy
Otters -9.5 (-333) DID NOT CASH
Total wagered: 500 K
Total payout: 0
Total profit: 0 (lost 500 K)
Ok, so that's all the bets for this week. Out of 48 bets that were placed by this variety of users, 40 cashed out. That is 40/48, which can be reduced to 5/6 or 83%. Of course, if 83% of the bets cash out, there would be no reason not to try out the casino. However, this is not indicative of how the results of a Sports Book on any given day would be, and therefore this initial number should be taken with a grain of salt. Further diagnostic results will be kept track of as I keep writing these articles and the season goes on.
There won't be many bad spots here since so many people were able to cash out and profit even if they just made a little money. That's the danger of casinos, they suck you in! This article is written 100% objectively, though, and it is incredibly likely I will continue to bet.
Furthermore, let's take a look at the most frequently placed bets of this night, and how they fared:
1)
+2.5 (+200) (15 BETTORS) CASHED2)
+5.5 (+125) (12 BETTORS) CASHED3)
at - U 48.5 points combined (+100) (6 BETTORS) CASHED4)
+9.5 (+250) (4 BETTORS) CASHED 5)
at - U 39.5 points combined (+100) (4 BETTORS) DID NOT CASH6)
at - O 49.5 points combined (+100) (3 BETTORS) DID NOT CASH7)
at - O 39.5 points combined (+100) (2 BETTORS) CASHED8)
-2.5 (-142) (1 BETTOR) DID NOT CASH9)
-9.5 (-333) (1 BETTOR) DID NOT CASHThe following potential bets had nobody place wagers on them:
10)
-5.5 (-200) DID NOT CASH11)
at - U 49.5 points combined (+100) CASHED12)
at - O 48.5 points combined (+100) DID NOT CASHSo, in closing, let's round it up with some accolades:
Easiest layup of Week 4:
+2.5 (+200) (15 BETTORS) CASHEDSarasota was at home against a weak-ish Liberty team. Expansion teams tend to get shafted in the lines, because people just assume they'll lose. Not only did they cover the spread, they blew them out.
Hidden gem of Week 4:
+9.5 (+250) (4 BETTORS) CASHED The Sabercats, on the road against OCO, managed to absolutely stun the Otters by beating them. Excellent job to the four of you who put money on this.
Biggest trap of Week 4:
at - U 39.5 points combined (+100) (4 BETTORS) DID NOT CASHAn expansion team on the road and the lowly Outlaws at home... doesn't sound like too many points to me. But 39.5 is NOT A LOT. Say it with me.
Missed opportunity of Week 4:
at - U 49.5 points combined (+100) CASHEDThis is the only bet that nobody picked that ended up cashing... I can see why nobody picked it. These two offenses have a ton of fire power.
"Of course nobody picked that" of Week 4:
at - O 48.5 points combined (+100) DID NOT CASHUnless the Yeti planned on winning 49-0 or 46-3, this one never really had a chance to cash. With 1:1 payout, there would be no reason to pick the considerably less likely outcome. Good call, everyone.
Check back soon for Week 5's roundup![/div]
Code:
1780 words and a fair bit of compiling of data.*Chris' Casino Roundup: Week 4 - Forty Jordy - 05-11-2020
That's how bad I am at betting. I am the only one who did not turn a profit: :/