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+---- Thread: *NSFL S(22) Power Rankings Edition 4 (/showthread.php?tid=22209)
*NSFL S(22) Power Rankings Edition 4 - Isidore94 - 05-18-2020
[div align=\\\"center\\\"] NSFL S(22) Power Rankings Edition 4 [/div]
![[Image: Uo4HckH.png]](https://i.imgur.com/Uo4HckH.png)
Hey everyone. Everyone here was quite busy so we only have a diet version of our power rankings.
[div align=\\\"center\\\"] METHOD [/div]
1. Updated TPE
2. Some new formatting
[div align=\\\"center\\\"] RESULTS [/div]
OFFENSIVE POWER RANKINGS
![[Image: NUbeKE5.png]](https://i.imgur.com/NUbeKE5.png)
(number in brackets denotes TPE rankings)
Team ----------- Value -- TPE Rank
1. Yellowknife----- 3.000 --- 5
2. Orange County--- 2.945 --- 3
3. New Orleans----- 2.479 --- 6 (+3)
4. Austin---------- 2.478 --- 1
5. San Jose-------- 2.468 --- 9
6. Colorado-------- 2.409 --- 2 (-3)
7. Arizona--------- 2.364 --- 7 (-1)
8. Philadelphia---- 2.184 --- 4
9. Baltimore------- 2.016 --- 11 (+1)
10. Sarasota-------- 1.999 --- 12 (+1)
11. Honolulu-------- 1.982 --- 8 (-2)
12. Chicago--------- 1.535 --- 10
Teams of Note:
was our big gainer this week, stepping into the third place spot after a tough 3 game road trip, with their only loss coming against Orange County. NOLA Will have two very winnable games at home against Austin and Honolulu to close out the season. 
resilience on the road seems to be an issue. With a loss at Saraosta, they concede the #1 seed to the Wraiths. Starting out the gate well, the Yeti have fallen from grace and will look to close out the season with two very winnable games against Chicago and BaltimoreDEFENSIVE POWER RANKINGS
![[Image: KnflTCn.png]](https://i.imgur.com/KnflTCn.png)
(number in brackets denotes TPE rankings)
Team ----------- Value -- TPE Rank
1. Yellowknife----- 2.897 --- 4 (+5)
2. Colorado-------- 2.856 --- 1 (-1)
3. Orange County--- 2.765 --- 2 (-1)
4. Baltimore------- 2.763 --- 6 (-1)
5. San Jose-------- 2.648 --- 8 (+2)
6. New Orleans----- 2.596 --- 3 (-1)
7. Philadelphia---- 2.497 --- 9 (-3)
8. Austin---------- 2.337 --- 5
9. Chicago--------- 2.094 --- 12
10. Arizona--------- 2.094 --- 10
11. Honolulu-------- 1.661 --- 11 (+1)
12. Sarasota-------- 1.655 --- 7 (-2)
are killing it this season. Projecting to come in at 5th, they find themselves atop the NSFC with the #1 defense and #1 offense. I do wonder if part of this is the effect of Colorado not doing as well as expected, and the fact that the rest of the NSFC is a joke. I don’t actually think the Wraiths have a better defense than Orange County, but rather I think the Wraiths have taken advantage of an extremely weak conference. This is why a team like Baltimore is able to come out ahead of a team like San Jose, despite coming out much weaker in a direct head to head with that team. This is a factor that will need to be accounted for next seasons power rankings![div align=\\\"center\\\"] Combined Power Rankings with Index [/div]
(First bracket number is purely stats/performance. Second number is TPE rankings)
Team ----------- Value - Perf Rank - TPE Rank
1. Yellowknife----- 4.806 ---- 1 -------- 5
2. Orange County--- 4.417 ---- 2 -------- 3
3. New Orleans----- 4.023 ---- 5 -------- 4 (+1)
4. Austin---------- 4.011 ---- 6 -------- 2 (+3)
5. Colorado-------- 3.995 ---- 3 -------- 1 (-2)
6. San Jose-------- 3.747 ---- 4 -------- 9
7. Baltimore------- 3.428 ---- 7 -------- 10 (+2)
8. Philadelphia---- 3.211 ---- 8 -------- 6 (-3)
9. Arizona--------- 2.739 ---- 9 -------- 7 (-1)
10. Sarasota-------- 2.469 ---- 10 -------- 11 (+1)
11. Honolulu-------- 2.266 ---- 11 -------- 8 (+1)
12. Chicago--------- 1.953 ---- 12 -------- 12 (-2)
As I said before with the Wraiths, I do think these disparities from where a team was ranked in the preseason (based on TPE) and where they are now can be attributed in part to conference strength. There have also been some extremely unlucky teams I believe, in Austin and Colorado, who have suffered greatly at the hand of the sim.
Regardless, the NSFC still has a lot to figure out, and in the ASFC the last playoff spot is up for grabs. If San Jose can win their home game against Orange County, they put massive pressure on Austin. Austin would need to win an away game against NOLA, a feat I think they’re absolutely capable of, but still it is a hard ask. If both teams lose, which I think is the likely event, then we go into a final game where both teams play each other in Austin. San Jose currently holds the head to head lead with a 5-point lead. Austin would need to win by more than 5 to secure the last playoff spot. The ball is absolutely in San Jose’s court. My prediction? Austin takes it. San Jose has won games on the road against lesser teams, which has placed them in prime position to make the playoffs. However they have but 1 standout win, a road win against Orange County in Week 4. Apart from this game, they have been unimpressive, relative to their competition. In relation to their TPE rank, they are doing amazing and should be proud of themselves for sure. That being said Austin came into this season as the #2 ranked team. They have been royally screwed by sim in the early parts of the season, but have since managed to figure things out with 5 straight wins, the last, a 28-20 road win against Orange County. There’s 0 doubt in my mind that Austin is going to play NOLA extremely close. The odds are certainly not totally against Austin. In their final game against San Jose I do think Austin takes it handily.
In terms of my predictions for the ASFC, Sarasota is in the driver seat, despite coming in as the #10 team. I feel like all the sim luck from the Yeti and the Copperheads has gone into this team. They have 2 road games to close the season, including a game against the Liberty. Sarasota holds the head to head lead with a 26-3 win against the Liberty in week 4, which will be the deciding factor. The Liberty play Sarasota at home, but they need to win by more than 23 points. The reason? They play their second game on the road against the Wraiths, a game I don’t think they can win. On the other hand, Sarasota plays the Butchers on the road, a game too I don’t think they can win (if only because of home field advantage). I predict this matchup comes down to their head to head, with advantage Sarasota. Realistically though it doesn’t matter, as neither of these teams have a hope in hell of advancing past the Yeti (who I’m not even bothering to discuss as they have a free home win against the Butchers to all but secure the #2 seed), nor the Wraiths.
FINAL PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS
NSFC:
ASFC:
Words=1133
Please pay Isidore94 100%
*NSFL S(22) Power Rankings Edition 4 - Matty7478 - 05-18-2020
Well this makes for very interesting reading...
P.S. the last section of the article before the final playoff predictions has the NSFC and ASFC mixed up I think.
*NSFL S(22) Power Rankings Edition 4 - Frostbite - 05-18-2020
Quote:
Quote:FINAL PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS
NSFC:
hmmmmm
*NSFL S(22) Power Rankings Edition 4 - Memento Mori - 05-18-2020
You really have the 3-9 Hawks as a better team than either of the two teams fighting for the third NSFC playoff spot?
*NSFL S(22) Power Rankings Edition 4 - retrospace111 - 05-18-2020
(05-18-2020, 09:33 PM)Memento Mori Wrote:You really have the 3-9 Hawks as a better team than either of the two teams fighting for the third NSFC playoff spot?
Hawks seem like a bottom 3 team
*NSFL S(22) Power Rankings Edition 4 - Isidore94 - 05-19-2020
(05-19-2020, 02:33 AM)Memento Mori Wrote:You really have the 3-9 Hawks as a better team than either of the two teams fighting for the third NSFC playoff spot?
Yes