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+---- Thread: *Quick & Dirty Playoff Scenarios (/showthread.php?tid=23607)
*Quick & Dirty Playoff Scenarios - speculadora - 07-17-2020
Disclaimer: I'm totally guessing on everyone's win rates. If anyone wants to share theirs and make this a touch more accurate they're welcome to.
A quick order of tiebreakers that matter as I remember them
H2H Record > Conference Record > Points For
The Games
55% @ 
45%
10% @ 
90%
25% @ 
75%
45% @ 
55%
10% @ 
90%
30% @ 
70%-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Locked in Playoff Seeds
NSFC
None (Technically)
ASFC:
1 -
2 -
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Regular Season Title
Remaining Contenders: OCO, YKW, COL
Scenarios (47.5%)- OCO wins (45%)
- OCO loses, YKW loses, COL loses (2.5%)
Scenarios (30.2%)- YKW wins, OCO loses (30.2%)
Scenarios (< 1%)- COL wins, OCO loses, YKW loses, COL outscores YKW by 77 or more (< 1%)
??? Scenarios (22.3%)
- OCO loses, YKW loses, COL wins, COL fails to outscore YKW by 77 or more (22.3%)
- Creates a four-way 10-6 tie
- Playoff HFA Breakdown in this Scenario:
have HFA vs , have HFA vs , have HFA vs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NSFC #1 & #2 Seed
Remaining Contenders: YKW, COL
#1 / #2 Scenarios (~100%)- YKW wins (55%)
- YKW loses, COL loses (4.5%)
- YKW loses, COL wins, COL fails to outscore YKW by 77 or more (~40.5%)
#1 / #2 Scenarios (< 1%)- YKW loses, COL wins, COL outscores YKW by 77 or more (< 1%)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NSFC #3 Seed
Remaining Contenders: BAL, PHI, SAR
Scenarios (60.1%)- BAL wins (25%)
- BAL loses, PHI loses, SAR fails to outscore BAL by 29 or more (35.1%)
Scenarios (33.7%)- PHI wins, BAL loses (33.7%)
Scenarios (6.2%)- SAR wins, PHI loses, SAR outscores BAL by 29 or more (6.2%)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASFC #3 Seed
Remaining Contenders: AUS, HON, ARI
Scenarios (90%)- AUS wins (90%)
Scenarios (7%)- ARI wins, AUS loses (7%)
Scenarios (3%)- HON wins, AUS loses (3%)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Most Likely Final Standings
NSFC
1 -
2 -
3 -
------
4 -
5 -
6 -
ASFC
1 -
2 -
3 -
------
4 -
5 -
6 -
*Quick & Dirty Playoff Scenarios - jeffie43 - 07-17-2020
lmao nerd
*Quick & Dirty Playoff Scenarios - Ben - 07-17-2020
NOLA is currently testing at 69% vs OCO if that helps w/ ur calculations
*Quick & Dirty Playoff Scenarios - ScorpXCracker - 07-17-2020
nola is going ti beat oco 90-2 to get that 1 seed ezpz
*Quick & Dirty Playoff Scenarios - speculadora - 07-17-2020
(07-17-2020, 01:34 AM)ScorpXCracker Wrote:nola is going ti beat oco 90-2 to get that 1 seed ezpz
pedantic detail, but conference record has the ASFC seedings locked either way
*Quick & Dirty Playoff Scenarios - ScorpXCracker - 07-17-2020
(07-17-2020, 12:36 AM)speculadora Wrote:pedantic detail, but conference record has the ASFC seedings locked either wayheck u we're going to beat you 160-4 now
*Quick & Dirty Playoff Scenarios - scorycory - 07-17-2020
(07-16-2020, 09:45 PM)ScorpXCracker Wrote:heck u we're going to beat you 160-4 now
That's almost as many point as Chicago has scored all season
*Quick & Dirty Playoff Scenarios - Mooty99 - 07-17-2020
Time to lose despite be massive favourites......
*Quick & Dirty Playoff Scenarios - CLG Rampage - 07-17-2020
(07-17-2020, 03:25 AM)Mooty99 Wrote:Time to lose despite be massive favourites......
Hey man, don't steal our style