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*ISFL - S24 Playoff Probabilities - Cody - 09-07-2020 After doing a DSFl Playoff Probabilities article I figured I might as well do a quick overview of the ISFL.  Here is a link to the DSFL S24 Playoff Probabilities which has a quick explanation of how I simulated it. That being said here's a breakdown of the ISFL starting with the current standings: NSFC Colorad Yeti: 11-2 Sarasoata Sailfish: 10-3 Yellowknife Wraiths: 5-8 Chicago Butchers: 5-8 Baltimore Hawks: 3-10 Philadelphia Liberty: 2-11 ASFC Orange County Otters: 8-5 New Orleans Second Line: 8-5 Honolulu Hahalua: 7-6 Arizona Outlaws: 7-6 San Jose SaberCats: 7-6 Austin Copperheads: 5-8 Here is a look at the team results after running numerous simulations and a broad overview of each conference: NSFC   Colorado Yeti | Current Record: 11-2 | Playoff Probability: 100% | Average Number of Wins: 12.7 Sarasota Sailfish | Current Record: 10-3 | Playoff Probability: 100% | Average Number of Wins: 12.2  Yellowknife Wraiths | Current Record: 5-8 | Playoff Probability: 85% | Average Number of Wins: 7 Chicago Butchers | Current Record: 5-8 | Playoff Probability: 15% | Average Number of Wins: 5.9 Baltimore Hawks | Current Record: 3-10 | Playoff Probability: 0% | Average Number of Wins: 4  Philadelphia Liberty | Current Record: 2-11 | Playoff Probability: 0% | Average Number of Wins: 3.6 My Take Not too much drama in the NSFC Colorado and Sarasota have already locked up a spot in the playoffs, it's only about who will get homefield advantage in the playoffs. The Wraiths are basically guaranteed a playoff spot with them receiving a playoff berth in 85% of the simulations. You can't count out Chicago though as they have a slim chance but could still make it. Baltimore has basically been eliminated unless they go on a crazy run and Philadelphia is eliminated. Philadelphia is guaranteed a Top 5 pick in the draft and should grab one of the stud defensive players from the Season 25 class. ASFC Orange County Otters | Current Record: 8-5 | Playoff Probability: 95% | Average Number of Wins: 9.7 New Orleans Second Line | Current Record: 8-5 | Playoff Probability: 65% | Average Number of Wins: 9.2 Honolulu Hahalua | Current Record: 7-6 | Playoff Probability: 55% | Average Number of Wins: 8.6  Arizona Outlaws | Current Record: 7-6 | Playoff Probability: 55% | Average Number of Wins: 8.6 San Jose SaberCats | Current Record: 7-6 | Playoff Probability: 30% | Average Number of Wins: 8.2 Austin Copperheads | Current Record: 5-8 | Playoff Probability: 0% | Average Number of Wins: 6.9 My Take Now this more like it! Even though the simulation has Orange County as a virtual lock at 95% the rest of the field is pretty even. New Orleans made it 65% of the time while Honolulu and Arizona were both at 55%. San Jose has a decent shot with 30% but they're going to need some games to bounce their way. Austin still has a legit chance at the playoffs but the simulator didn't agree as they didn't make it in one simulation. The parity is very clear in the ASFC as only 3 games separate the top and bottom of the conference. I can't wait to see how the rest of the season plays out. Final Thoughts At this point I think it's going to be a showdown between Sarasota and Orange County in the Ultimus. I really like Colorado but there's just something about Sarasota that makes me think they're going to take it all and beat Orange County. RE: ISFL - S24 Playoff Probabilities - RussDrivesTheBus - 09-07-2020 If SJS misses the playoffs this year, I will cry for a month and a half. RE: ISFL - S24 Playoff Probabilities - Pat - 09-07-2020 Now this is fun content! Nice article buddy! RE: ISFL - S24 Playoff Probabilities - White Cornerback - 09-07-2020 so you're saying there's a chance RE: ISFL - S24 Playoff Probabilities - Opera_Phantom - 09-07-2020 Can't wait to not play in the playoffs again RE: ISFL - S24 Playoff Probabilities - Cheech65 - 09-07-2020