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*Season Over/Under - Bayley - 04-12-2021 Well, here we are again, got a really interesting idea to see odds of each of the bets hitting after Week 7 of the season. Let's include the betting below as well so people know!
BET TRACKING Arizona (5-2) # of Total Bets: 6 # of bets on OVER 11.5: 1 # of bets on UNDER 11.5: 5 Total Money spent on OVER 11.5: 2,000,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 11.5: 12,500,000 Honestly, I could see this going either way. I see Arizona winning vs BAL, vs PHI, vs SJS, but the other games could really be close. It's tough to tell where this will end up. Likely bet to win: N/A Remaining Games: vs BAL, @ COL, vs OCO, @ AUS, vs HON, vs PHI, @ NOLA, vs SJS, @ NYS Total Won/Loss if guess is right: N/A Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: $0 ============================================= Austin (6-1) # of Total Bets: 5 # of bets on OVER 8.5: 1 # of bets on UNDER 8.5: 4 Total Money spent on OVER 8.5: 3,000,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 8.5: 11,500,000 Likely bet to win: OVER 8.5 Remaining Games: vs SAR, @ BER, @ HON, vs ARI, @ NOLA, vs SJS, @ NYS, vs OCO, vs YKW Total Won/Loss if guess is right: +8,500,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: +8,500,000 ============================================= Baltimore (0-7) # of Total Bets: 8 # of bets on OVER 1.5: 4 # of bets on UNDER 1.5: 4 Total Money spent on OVER 1.5: 10,750,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 1.5: 11,500,000 Likely bet to win: UNDER 1.5 Remaining Games: @ ARI, vs OCO, @ PHI, vs COL, vs YKW, vs BER, @CHI, @NOLA, vs SAR Total Won/Loss if guess is right: -750,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: +7,750,000 ============================================= Berlin (6-1) # of Total Bets: 15 # of bets on UNDER 9.5: 4 # of bets on OVER 8.5: 10 # of bets on UNDER 8.5: 1 Total Money spent on UNDER 9.5: 5,000,000 Total Money spent on OVER 8.5: 38,000,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 8.5: 1,000,000 Likely bet to win: OVER 8.5 Remaining Games: @ SJS, vs AUS, vs SAR, @HON, vs PHI, @BAL, @YKW, @CHI, @COL Total Won/Loss if guess is right: - 32,000,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: -24,250,000 ============================================= Chicago (3-4) # of Total Bets: 7 # of bets on OVER 8.5: 4 # of bets on UNDER 8.5: 4 Total Money spent on OVER 8.5: 8,500,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 8.5: 5,250,000 This is too close to say. I was going to guess the over on this, but I will just keep it blank since I am probably biased think we should win most of these. Likely bet to win: N/A Remaining Games: @ OCO, vs SJS, @ YKW, @ SAR, @ NYS, vs COL, vs BAL, vs BER, @ PHI Total Won/Loss if guess is right: Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: -24,250,000 ============================================= Colorado (4-3) # of Total Bets: 6 # of bets on OVER 9.5: 4 # of bets on UNDER 10.5: 1 # of bets on OVER 10.5: 1 Total Money spent on OVER 9.5: 9,500,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 10.5: 5,000,000 Total Money spent on OVER 10.5: 5,000,000 Likely bet to win: UNDER 10.5 (9 WINS) Remaining Games: @ NYS, vs ARI, @ SJS, @ BAL, vs SAR, @ CHI, @ PHI, vs YKW, vs BER Total Won/Loss if guess is right:+9,500,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: -14,750,000 ============================================= Honolulu (3-4) # of Total Bets: 7 # of bets on OVER 8.5: 5 # of bets on UNDER 8.5: 2 Total Money spent on OVER 8.5: 10,000,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 8.5: 5,500,000 Likely bet to win: UNDER 8.5 Remaining Games: vs PHI, @ YKW, vs AUS, vs BER, @ARI, vs NOLA, @ SJS, vs NYS, @ OCO Total Won/Loss if guess is right: +4,500,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: -10,250,000 ============================================= New York (4-3) # of Total Bets: 13 # of bets on OVER 7.5: 4 # of bets on OVER 8.5: 2 # of bets on UNDER 9.5: 7 Total Money spent on OVER 7.5: 5,500,000 Total Money spent on OVER 8.5: 10,000,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 9.5: 23,500,000 Likely bet to win: OVER 7.5, UNDER 9.5 (8 WINS) Remaining Games: vs COL, @ PHI, vs NOLA, vs SJS, vs CHI, @ OCO, vs AUS, @ HON, vs ARI Total Won/Loss if guess is right: -29,000,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: -39,250,000 ============================================= NOLA (1-6) # of Total Bets: 6 # of bets on OVER 5.5: 4 # of bets on UNDER 5.5: 2 Total Money spent on OVER 5.5: 15,500,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 5.5: 4,000,000 Likely bet to win: UNDER 5.5 Remaining Games: vs YKW, @ SAR, @ NYS, vs OCO, vs AUS, @ HON, vs ARI, vs BAL, @ SJS Total Won/Loss if guess is right: +11,500,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: -27,750,000 ============================================= Orange County (3-4) # of Total Bets: 5 # of bets on OVER 8.5: 3 # of bets on UNDER 8.5: 2 Total Money spent on OVER 8.5: 5,500,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 8.5: 6,000,000 Likely bet to win: UNDER 8.5 Remaining Games: vs CHI, @ BAL, @ ARI, @ NOLA, @ SJS, vs NYS, vs SAR, @ AUS, vs HON Total Won/Loss if guess is right: -500,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: -28,250,000 ============================================= Philadelphia (2-5) # of Total Bets: 9 # of bets on OVER 4.5: 6 # of bets on UNDER 4.5: 3 Total Money spent on OVER 4.5: 14,750,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 4.5: 8,000,000 Likely bet to win: UNDER 4.5 Remaining Games: @HON, vs NYS, vs BAL, @ YKW, @ BER, @ ARI, vs COL, @ SAR, vs CHI Total Won/Loss if guess is right: +6,750,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: -21,500,000 ============================================= San Jose (2-5) # of Total Bets: 5 # of bets on OVER 7.5: 1 # of bets on UNDER 7.5: 4 Total Money spent on OVER 7.5: 1,000,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 7.5: 8,500,000 Likely bet to win: UNDER 7.5 Remaining Games: vs BER, @ CHI, vs COL, @ NYS, vs OCO, @ AUS, vs HON, @ ARI, vs NOLA Total Won/Loss if guess is right: - 7,500,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: -29,000,000 ============================================= Sarasota (5-2) # of Total Bets: 5 # of bets on OVER 10.5: 2 # of bets on UNDER 10.5: 3 Total Money spent on OVER 10.5: 4,000,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 10.5: 6,500,000 Likely bet to win: OVER 10.5 Remaining Games: @ AUS, vs NOLA, @ BER, vs CHI, @ COL, vs YKW, @ OCO, vs PHI, @ BAL Total Won/Loss if guess is right: +2,500,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: -26,500,000 ============================================= Yellowknife (5-2) # of Total Bets: 7 # of bets on OVER 9.5: 4 # of bets on UNDER 9.5: 3 Total Money spent on OVER 9.5: 11,500,000 Total Money spent on UNDER 9.5: 6,000,000 Likely bet to win: OVER 9.5 Remaining Games: @ NOLA, vs HON, vs CHI, vs PHI, @ BAL, @ SAR, vs BER, @ COL, @ AUS Total Won/Loss if guess is right: -5,500,000 Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: -34,000,000 ============================================= If all my guesses are right, Casino would lose 34,000,000 on bets that totaled almost 300 million. RE: Season Over/Under - Bayley - 04-12-2021 To clarify, Total Won/Loss if guess is right: +2,500,000 - would be the "gain" for the casino. The - number would indicate a loss within that team. Total Won/Loss if guess is right: +8,500,000 - this is per bet - so if it hit like I suggested, that is what casino would win/lose Casino Win/Loss if guess is right: +8,500,000 - running tally if all the bets previous were correct |