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*Breaking Down Receiver Drops - bovovovo - 11-21-2017

The sim keeps track of some stats that don't get exported to the index for some reason. One of those stats is receiver drops (others include missed tackles and QB sack %).

After seeing @124715 exclaim on Twitch that he led the league in drops even though his hands are maxed, I thought it would be interesting to take a look at receiver drops more closely (he's right, he does currently lead the league in drops).

I thought this would be an interesting stat that people would want to see broken down.


Receiving Drop %
This is the percentage of how many times the intended receiver dropped the ball compared to how many times they caught it (the equation is just drops/(drops+catches)). This does not include instances where the receiver was targeted but the pass was uncatchable or defended, it only includes catchable passes that were dropped.

Only includes players with at least 10 catches.
Ordered worst (highest drop %) to best (lowest drop %)

(Team - Name - Position - Catches/Drops - Drop %)

COL Young - WR - 14/7 - 33%
ARI Mackworthy - RB - 10/5 - 33%
LVL Tenzini - TE - 10/5 - 33%
PHI Rocket - WR - 19/9 - 32%
BAL Koch - RB - 27/12 - 31% <-- Highest drop % out of players with at least 20 catches
BAL Taylor - RB - 28/11 - 28%
LVL Tanner - TE - 24/9 - 27%
YKW Nuck - RB - 16/6 - 27%
SJS Weston - WR - 46/17 - 27% <-- Highest drop % out of players with at least 40 catches
ARI Evans - WR - 41/15 - 27%
SJS Diaz - RB - 11/4 - 27%
COL Tweed - RB - 32/11 - 26%
PHI DiMirio - TE - 67/22 -25% <-- Highest drop % out of players with at least 50 catches
ARI Tuck - RB - 32/10 - 24%
SJS Smallwood - WR - 45/14 - 24%
COL West - WR - 39/12 - 24%
OCO Burnsman - RB - 13/4 - 24% <-- The first Otters player on the list
BAL Wheat - WR - 17/5 - 23%
BAL Christmas - WR - 38/11 - 22%
YKW Jarden - WR - 38/11 - 22%
YKW Law - WR - 28/8 - 22%
SJS Yates - RB - 32/9 - 22%
ARI Chess - WR - 36/10 - 22%
OCO Phelps - WR - 47/13 - 22%
OCO O'Sullivan - TE - 51/14 - 22%
PHI Browning - WR - 47/12 - 20%
BAL Willie - WR - 51/13 - 20%
COL Hendrix - WR - 36/9 - 20%
BAL Stormblessed - WR - 46/11 - 19%
OCO Reigns - WR - 53/12 - 18%
LVL LeClair - WR - 32/7 - 18%
YKW Kennedy - RB - 38/8 - 17%
LVL Savea - RB - 19/4 - 17%
SJS Bottles - TE - 34/7 - 17%
COL Boggs - CB - 30/6 - 17% <-- This is a CB with 30 offensive catches and has a lower drop % than all but 10 players
ARI Law - TE - 50/9 - 15%
OCO Jenkins - RB - 41/7 - 15% <-- Lowest drop % of all RBs
PHI North - WR - 57/8 - 12%
OCO Westfield - WR - 57/8 - 12%
YKW Cook - WR - 52/7 - 12%
LVL Ross - WR - 24/3 - 11%
YKW Askins - TE - 57/7 - 11% <-- Lowest drop % of all TEs with at least 20 catches
ARI Garden - WR - 62/6 - 9% <-- Leads league in receiving yards and TDs
SJS Jackson - WR - 61/5 - 8% <-- Lowest drop % of all WRs
COL Joyce - TE - 11/0 - 0% <-- Only player with more than 10 catches and 0 drops


For the curious, the player with the highest drop rate in the league is the Philadelphia Liberty's Cesar Milan, RB with drop rate of 47% (8 catches and 7 drops).

Now for the team breakdowns. This is each team's total drop % (total drops / (total catches + total drops))

BAL 23.1%
PHI 22.3%
COL 22.1%
LVL 22.0%
SJS 19.6%
ARI 19.2%
YKW 17.1%
OCO 17.1%

So the Hawks have the highest drop rate, and the Wraiths (interestingly enough) and Otters have the lowest drop rate by a solid 2%.


Hope you found this interesting. I may do something similar with missed tackles in the future if enough people are interested.


GRADED


*Breaking Down Receiver Drops - iamslm22 - 11-21-2017

My takeaway from this is that I'm way better than @Bzerkap.


*Breaking Down Receiver Drops - 124715 - 11-21-2017

Great article bovo!


*Breaking Down Receiver Drops - 124715 - 11-21-2017

btw you forgot Otters in team breakdown :hmm:


*Breaking Down Receiver Drops - bovovovo - 11-21-2017

(11-21-2017, 01:10 PM)124715 Wrote:btw you forgot Otters in team breakdown :hmm:

Aw shoot you’re right. I’ll add that in when I get back in front of my computer lol thanks!


*Breaking Down Receiver Drops - Bzerkap - 11-21-2017

@iamslm22 on the contrary. I know how to place the ball accurately and protect my WRs from getting crushed over the middle. Best QB right here


*Breaking Down Receiver Drops - bovovovo - 11-21-2017

(11-21-2017, 01:10 PM)124715 Wrote:btw you forgot Otters in team breakdown :hmm:

Added them. They're at a 17.1% drop rate, tied with Wraiths for lowest in the league


*Breaking Down Receiver Drops - timeconsumer - 11-21-2017

(11-21-2017, 03:26 PM)bovovovo Wrote:Added them. They're at a 17.1% drop rate, tied with Wraiths for lowest in the league

We have high hands stats.


*Breaking Down Receiver Drops - tlk742 - 11-21-2017

So what's really key is TPE stat break downs and position, @bovovovo can I dissect this data and run a few things?


*Breaking Down Receiver Drops - bovovovo - 11-21-2017

(11-21-2017, 03:33 PM)tlk742 Wrote:So what's really key is TPE stat break downs and position, @bovovovo can I dissect this data and run a few things?

Absolutely! :cheers: