Offensive Comparison:
![[Image: cm5wKTm.png]](https://i.imgur.com/cm5wKTm.png)
Bottom Half: The biggest factor holding the Yeti back from a playoff spot was their quarterback play. They entered the season expecting to veteran Logan Noble to lead them to one of the top passing attacks in the league. However, Noble was suspended before the season and the Yeti were forced to scramble for a new quarterback. Luckily they were able to work out a trade for Nicholas Pierno to be their new signal caller. Pierno is a player with great potential and will one day be one of the top quarterbacks in the league. Unfortunately, he was not ready for a starting role yet. Pierno was expected to spend his first year developing in the DSFL to prepare for the transition to the NSFL level, but found himself thrust into a starting role immediately. It was trial by fire for Pierno who struggled a lot during his rookie season. The Yeti's passing attack never found its rhythym and was more prone to turnovers than touchdowns. The Yeti's window of contention will be tied to Pierno's development and they will likely have to wait for Pierno to develop further before they can fight for a playoff spot.
The biggest factor in the Legion's struggles was their defense, which was the worst in the league. They gave up 444 points this season, which is 72 more than any team gave up this season. No other team has ever given up 400 points in a season before. The Legion have some promising young players on offense, but they are going to need to do some work in order to rebuild their defense and become a serious contender.
Playoff Predictions:
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This should be a good matchup between two teams whose records differed by just half a game. However, the match up is less even when looking at their point differentials. Both teams had very similar points scored totals with the Liberty scoring 9 more points, but the Liberty's defense allowed 52 more points. The Hawks have the much stronger defense and good defense is what usually wins playoff football games. On top of this, the Hawks have home field advantage, which makes a huge difference in this league. The Liberty put up a good fight but are not ready to dethrone the Hawks yet. Prediction:
24
13
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The Otters are a great team, but they cannot win against the Outlaws. In the last 3 regular seasons, the Otters are 24-10 (.706) when not playing the Outlaws and 1-9 (0.100) when playing the Outlaws. Without even talking about how great the Outlaws have been this season, they have a clear match-up advantage as they can game plan against the Otters better than any other team in the league. Add in home field advantage and the fact that the Outlaws went 13-1 with the best offense and defense in the league and I cannot find a reason to justify picking the Otters for this game. However, the Otters usually don't get blown out by the Outlaws, so I think it will be a close game but the Outlaws will ultimately continue their winning streak against the Otters. Predicction:
23
16
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It looks like we are due for a rematch of last year's championship game with both teams performing better this year than last year. The Hawks have some hope as they already won a game in Arizona this year. However, it was at a point when the Outlaws had already clinched home field advantage and had nothing left to play for. This Outlaws team is a juggernaut and I don't think the Hawks will be able to pull off another miracle against them when it matters most. It won't be a blowout like last year, but the Outlaws will achieve the three-peat. Prediction:
24
20
Hate the player or the game: The Yellowknife Wraiths had no business missing the playoffs this season. They were the most talented team in the NSFC and one could even make the case that their roster was the most talented in the league (I think at one point the TPE tracker had them ahead of the Outlaws). The Wraiths' talent transferred to the field as they led the NSFC in point differential, but it did not translate to enough wins to earn a playoff spot. I think they ultimately fell victim to bad luck. Some times a team can do everything right but the sims just don't go their way. Last year's Yeti team was in the exact same situation of being the best team in the NSFC yet missing the playoffs because they lost some games they should have easily won (like the home game against the Legion). The Wraiths lost twice against the Sabercats, once on a long touchdown on the final play of the game and once in overtime. The Wraiths were favored in both games and were so close that they could have easily gone the other way with a little better luck. The Wraiths also lost a game in Colorado where they were heavily favored yet lost by 2 scores 16-7. On paper, the Wraiths were easily a playoff team but it didn't quite work out. Perhaps they were too confident and overlooked some of these easy games? It's hard to tell what exactly caused their underperformance. With a big free agency coming up, it will be interesting to see if the Wraiths will be able to keep the team together and perhaps next year they will be able to translate their potential into greater success.
Match-up Nightmares: The Orange County Otters can give other teams nightmares with their receiver corps. Westfield and Phelps rank first and second in the league in receptions, receiving yards, and touchdowns. Teams need to have two elite cornerbacks if they have any hope of shutting down this ferocious passing attack and not getting torched. Phillipe Carter is a proven veteran and should be able to shut down one of these receivers for the Outlaws. However, the matchup could hinge on the performance of rookie Franklin Harris Jr. So far Harris has been one of the top statistical cornerbacks of the season with a league leading 8 interceptions and 21 pass deflections, which ranks 3rd in the league. However, the question is whether he will be able to maintain this success against the best passing attack in the league. The Otters know that they will not be able to beat the Outlaws’ monstrous front seven on the ground, so they will be looking to win the game through the air. Despite his strong performance, Harris will be viewed as the weak link in the Outlaws’ secondary due to his lack of experience. The Otters’ offense will focus around trying to expose Harris and get him to make rookie mistakes. I’m not sure which receiver the Otters will line up against Harris, but he will have to cover a veteran player who is one of the best in the league at their position, which is a tough situation for any rookie. If Harris makes mistakes, the Otters could break their long losing streak against the Outlaws, however if Harris rises to the occasion, there is little the Otters will able to do against the Outlaws’ stout defense.
![[Image: cm5wKTm.png]](https://i.imgur.com/cm5wKTm.png)
Bottom Half: The biggest factor holding the Yeti back from a playoff spot was their quarterback play. They entered the season expecting to veteran Logan Noble to lead them to one of the top passing attacks in the league. However, Noble was suspended before the season and the Yeti were forced to scramble for a new quarterback. Luckily they were able to work out a trade for Nicholas Pierno to be their new signal caller. Pierno is a player with great potential and will one day be one of the top quarterbacks in the league. Unfortunately, he was not ready for a starting role yet. Pierno was expected to spend his first year developing in the DSFL to prepare for the transition to the NSFL level, but found himself thrust into a starting role immediately. It was trial by fire for Pierno who struggled a lot during his rookie season. The Yeti's passing attack never found its rhythym and was more prone to turnovers than touchdowns. The Yeti's window of contention will be tied to Pierno's development and they will likely have to wait for Pierno to develop further before they can fight for a playoff spot.
The biggest factor in the Legion's struggles was their defense, which was the worst in the league. They gave up 444 points this season, which is 72 more than any team gave up this season. No other team has ever given up 400 points in a season before. The Legion have some promising young players on offense, but they are going to need to do some work in order to rebuild their defense and become a serious contender.
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Playoff Predictions:


This should be a good matchup between two teams whose records differed by just half a game. However, the match up is less even when looking at their point differentials. Both teams had very similar points scored totals with the Liberty scoring 9 more points, but the Liberty's defense allowed 52 more points. The Hawks have the much stronger defense and good defense is what usually wins playoff football games. On top of this, the Hawks have home field advantage, which makes a huge difference in this league. The Liberty put up a good fight but are not ready to dethrone the Hawks yet. Prediction:




The Otters are a great team, but they cannot win against the Outlaws. In the last 3 regular seasons, the Otters are 24-10 (.706) when not playing the Outlaws and 1-9 (0.100) when playing the Outlaws. Without even talking about how great the Outlaws have been this season, they have a clear match-up advantage as they can game plan against the Otters better than any other team in the league. Add in home field advantage and the fact that the Outlaws went 13-1 with the best offense and defense in the league and I cannot find a reason to justify picking the Otters for this game. However, the Otters usually don't get blown out by the Outlaws, so I think it will be a close game but the Outlaws will ultimately continue their winning streak against the Otters. Predicction:




It looks like we are due for a rematch of last year's championship game with both teams performing better this year than last year. The Hawks have some hope as they already won a game in Arizona this year. However, it was at a point when the Outlaws had already clinched home field advantage and had nothing left to play for. This Outlaws team is a juggernaut and I don't think the Hawks will be able to pull off another miracle against them when it matters most. It won't be a blowout like last year, but the Outlaws will achieve the three-peat. Prediction:


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Hate the player or the game: The Yellowknife Wraiths had no business missing the playoffs this season. They were the most talented team in the NSFC and one could even make the case that their roster was the most talented in the league (I think at one point the TPE tracker had them ahead of the Outlaws). The Wraiths' talent transferred to the field as they led the NSFC in point differential, but it did not translate to enough wins to earn a playoff spot. I think they ultimately fell victim to bad luck. Some times a team can do everything right but the sims just don't go their way. Last year's Yeti team was in the exact same situation of being the best team in the NSFC yet missing the playoffs because they lost some games they should have easily won (like the home game against the Legion). The Wraiths lost twice against the Sabercats, once on a long touchdown on the final play of the game and once in overtime. The Wraiths were favored in both games and were so close that they could have easily gone the other way with a little better luck. The Wraiths also lost a game in Colorado where they were heavily favored yet lost by 2 scores 16-7. On paper, the Wraiths were easily a playoff team but it didn't quite work out. Perhaps they were too confident and overlooked some of these easy games? It's hard to tell what exactly caused their underperformance. With a big free agency coming up, it will be interesting to see if the Wraiths will be able to keep the team together and perhaps next year they will be able to translate their potential into greater success.
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Match-up Nightmares: The Orange County Otters can give other teams nightmares with their receiver corps. Westfield and Phelps rank first and second in the league in receptions, receiving yards, and touchdowns. Teams need to have two elite cornerbacks if they have any hope of shutting down this ferocious passing attack and not getting torched. Phillipe Carter is a proven veteran and should be able to shut down one of these receivers for the Outlaws. However, the matchup could hinge on the performance of rookie Franklin Harris Jr. So far Harris has been one of the top statistical cornerbacks of the season with a league leading 8 interceptions and 21 pass deflections, which ranks 3rd in the league. However, the question is whether he will be able to maintain this success against the best passing attack in the league. The Otters know that they will not be able to beat the Outlaws’ monstrous front seven on the ground, so they will be looking to win the game through the air. Despite his strong performance, Harris will be viewed as the weak link in the Outlaws’ secondary due to his lack of experience. The Otters’ offense will focus around trying to expose Harris and get him to make rookie mistakes. I’m not sure which receiver the Otters will line up against Harris, but he will have to cover a veteran player who is one of the best in the league at their position, which is a tough situation for any rookie. If Harris makes mistakes, the Otters could break their long losing streak against the Outlaws, however if Harris rises to the occasion, there is little the Otters will able to do against the Outlaws’ stout defense.
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