*Power Ratings - Week 6

[speculadora]

Archive
Feel free to check out the Season 18/Week 10 or Week 11 editions for a rundown on how this works.

Season 18
Week 10
Week 11
Week 12
Week 13
Conference Championships

Season 19
Week 5

Raw Ratings
Ranking - Team - Rating (Change)
1. Orange County Otters - 142.3
2. Baltimore Hawks - 137.8
3. New Orleans Second Line - 134.6
4. Arizona Outlaws - 131.2 (▲ 2)
5. Yellowknife Wraiths - 129.4 (▼ 1)
6. Colorado Yeti - 127.7 (▼ 1)
7. Philadelphia Liberty - 126.0
8. Austin Copperheads - 123.1
9. Chicago Butchers - 119.1
10. San Jose Sabercats - 113.6

Scaled Ratings
Ranking - Team - Rating+ (Change)
1. Orange County Otters - 110.8 (+0.9)
2. Baltimore Hawks - 107.2 (-1.5)
3. New Orleans Second Line - 104.7 (-2.5)
4. Arizona Outlaws - 102.1 (+2.8)
5. Yellowknife Wraiths - 100.7 (-2.1)
6. Colorado Yeti - 99.4 (+0.0)
7. Philadelphia Liberty - 98.1 (+2.0)
8. Austin Copperheads - 95.8 (+0.4)
9. Chicago Butchers - 92.7 (+0.2)
10. San Jose Sabercats - 88.4 (-0.2)

Week 7 Spreads
@ : Butchers +6
@ : Yeti -6
@ : Copperheads +4
@ : Otters -9
@ : Second Line -25.5

[FleshBagSoup]

oof. I am afraid of our next game vs the otters

[Eco]

Don't be, that is an automatic loss for us. Learn to embrace our luck vs OCO.

[ScorpXCracker]

oof. I am afraid of our next game vs the otters

we gor this

[Frostbite]

we beat yellowknife. Twice!!! Why are we bad

[speculadora]

we beat yellowknife. Twice!!! Why are we bad

basically what's going on is we have PHI > YKW x2 (by 26.5 points between the two games) and SJS (by 35) but PHI also < COL (by 13.5), CHI (by 22.5), and BAL (by 29.5). So it's trying to find a rankings where all of those point differences can be satisfied. Meanwhile each of those teams have their own point differentials to satisfy, etc, etc. So Philadelphia just winds up there. Doesn't mean they are bad, just ranked as... kinda mediocre.

But you can kind of see a slight flaw in this with the way NOLA is ranked. Despite losing to Arizona by 18, losing to SJS, and losing to YKW at home (less bad, but it counts as a loss by 14.5 because NOLA were home), they find themselves ranked 3rd overall largely because their loss @ OCO, who this ranks #1, was only by 10 points (or 5.5 when factoring in home field advantage). So, like I mentioned above, when the calculation runs, it's looking for a scenario where NOLA is only 5.5 points below OCO, which kind of inflates their ranking.

[iamslm22]

This is awesome. Thanks for doing these