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*NSFL Week 3 & 4 Watchability Rankings - Printable Version +- [DEV] ISFL Forums (http://dev.sim-football.com/forums) +-- Forum: Community (http://dev.sim-football.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?fid=5) +--- Forum: Media (http://dev.sim-football.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?fid=37) +---- Forum: Graded Articles (http://dev.sim-football.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?fid=38) +---- Thread: *NSFL Week 3 & 4 Watchability Rankings (/showthread.php?tid=16139) |
*NSFL Week 3 & 4 Watchability Rankings - Modern_Duke - 10-18-2019 Your weekly ranking of the games by how exciting they should be to watch. Based on the following: Team Factor: Team 1's Win % x Team 2's Win % - Pretty straight forward measure of the quality of the two teams playing. Multiplying the percentages rather than adding them together should better account for how closely matched the two teams are as well, so like two 5-5 teams playing each other will get a higher score than an 8-2 team playing a 2-8 team. Offensive Factor: There are probably a few really good ways to measure how exciting an offense is (yards per play, long touchdowns) but at the end of the day an exciting offense just scores a lot, so I'll just keep it nice and simple with the average of Team 1 and Team 2's points per game (divided by 100 to scale with the Team Factor). Defensive Factor: Here I didn't want to just use points per game, because, well, go watch a game that ends 3-0 and tell me that it was constantly exciting. If you want excitement on defense, you have to look at the big plays like sacks and turnovers. I was previously using Sacks/Play and Turnovers/Play, but, well, this don't pay well enough for me to pull the data every time. So now I'm adjusting it to (Sacks+6*Turnovers) per game (divided by 100). Seems to work pretty much the same anyway. X Factor: What is going on in this game that isn't covered in the stats? A big divisional rivalry? A lot of trash talk before the game? A playoff spot on the line? Here I will try to assign a number to express those intangible factors...So if this whole thing is going to be completely arbitrary anyway, why use statistics at all? Well, I don't know, that's just kind of my thing. Don't be mean. I have started to mix in S18 stats. This time will be weighted 25% on S18 stats and 75% on S17, and I'll keep increasing the S18 weight as we get further into the season. Also, this one is a little rushed, so I didn't really look for X Factors. 10. (Week 4) Austin Copperheads at San Jose SaberCats ![]() ![]() Team Factor: 0.0999 Offensive Factor: .1904 Defensive Factor: .0868 X Factor: None Watchability Index: 0.3771 Notes: 0-2 vs 0-2. San Jose has had some struggles in scoring so far to say the least. 9. (Week 4) Yellowknife Wraiths at Philadelphia Liberty ![]() ![]() Team Factor: 0.1692 Offensive Factor: .2386 Defensive Factor: .1301 X Factor: None Watchability Index: 0.5379 Notes: This system doesn't seem to like Philadelphia much. I recommend they score more. 8. (Week 4) Colorado Yeti at New Orleans Second Line ![]() ![]() Team Factor: 0.1988 Offensive Factor: .2456 Defensive Factor: .1077 X Factor: None Watchability Index: 0.5521 7. (Week 3) Baltimore Hawks at Philadephia Liberty ![]() ![]() Team Factor: 0.2053 Offensive Factor: .2409 Defensive Factor: .1104 X Factor: None Watchability Index: 0.5565 6. (Week 3) San Jose SaberCats at Yellowknife Wraiths ![]() ![]() Team Factor: 0.2030 Offensive Factor: .2368 Defensive Factor: .1012 X Factor: None Watchability Index: 0.5588 5. (Week 3) Orange County Otters at Austin Copperheads ![]() ![]() Team Factor: 0.1886 Offensive Factor: .2500 Defensive Factor: .1265 X Factor: None Watchability Index: 0.5651 4. (Week 3) Chicago Butchers at Colorado Yeti ![]() ![]() Team Factor: 0.2425 Offensive Factor: .2454 Defensive Factor: .1088 X Factor: None Watchability Index: 0.5967 3. (Week 3) Arizona Outlaws at New Orleans Second Line ![]() ![]() Team Factor: 0.3097 Offensive Factor: .2771 Defensive Factor: .1059 X Factor: None Watchability Index: 0.6927 2. (Week 4) Baltimore Hawks at Chicago Butchers ![]() ![]() Team Factor: 0.4173 Offensive Factor: .2840 Defensive Factor: .1060 X Factor: None Watchability Index: 0.8073 1. (Week 4) Arizona Outlaws at Orange County Otters ![]() ![]() Team Factor: 0.4212 Offensive Factor: .2915 Defensive Factor: .1400 X Factor: +0.10 Watchability Index: 0.9528 Notes: Actually, I will throw in a quick X Factor bump for this classic division rivalry. *NSFL Week 3 & 4 Watchability Rankings - goodvsevil1275 - 10-18-2019 I don't want to tolerate the Philly slander but we also need to do something first lol *NSFL Week 3 & 4 Watchability Rankings - Frostbite - 10-18-2019 An anti-philly man right here *NSFL Week 3 & 4 Watchability Rankings - Bigred1580 - 10-18-2019 "This system doesn't seem to like Philadelphia much. I recommend they score more." lol |