As 1.5x media week is upon us, I'll be returning the series I did a while before back into life. As some of you who read this before might know, the 'top destinations' series breaks down the top prospect of a given position into several tiers, and provide an analysis about where their most likely draft destination will be. As I did with last season, I'll start with wide receivers and course through offensive positions first, as those positions are more undervalued than defense in my opinion.
Before we start
The S23 class has unusually high numbers of wide receivers, and 14 total players remain even after many more changed positions. Among those 14, 11 had updated in the update of may 16th, the latest update at this point. This is almost as much actives as S22 class, which, despite having high inactive percentage, still had huge numbers in every positions. Those players can be categorized into several tiers like below.
Tier 1: Kai Sakura (206 TPE), Tychondrius Hood (193 TPE), Luca Scabbia (191 TPE)
Tier 1.5: Videl- San (183 TPE), Jackson Kingston (176 TPE), Dre Matthews (175 TPE), Doug Howlett (174 TPE)
Tier 2: Griff Oberwald (159 TPE), Deonte Washington* (138 TPE), Benoit Blanco (131 TPE), Brock Bodenheimer (126 TPE)
*Washington did not update in may 16th update, his last update being one of the may 2nd. However, I included him in the list as he was seen very recently.
Those 11, plus Washington whom I think will update and earn, will most likely be the wide receivers taken in the meaningful rounds (I'm projecting about first to mid sixth round as this class has low inactive percentage) of the S23 NSFL draft. One thing that I can immediately notice from this overview is that there is no big dip of TPE among the tier 1 and 1.5 players, which means their value can collectively drop added with the current wide receiver situations in the NSFL. Speaking of the NSFL, let's move on to team by team analysis without further ado.
Chicago Butchers
The Butchers currently has two wide receivers in their NSFL roster. One, Sean O'Leary, is active with 841 TPE. However, Jerome Davis, the other wide receiver in the roster, had been inactive for quite some time and only has 287 TPE to his name. The Butchers also has an active senddown wide receiver in S21 Raheem Okusi, who is both active and already has more TPE than Davis at 290. So it is expected that Okusi will be called up and occupy the WR2 spot currently held by Davis. So, wide receiver won't be the highest need under staus quo, as the Butchers has more immediate needs in other positions like safeties and cornerbacks.
However, there had been a rumor about the Butchers trying to trade O' Leary away. One rumor even stated that the Butchers were close to a deal with an undisclosed team. If that is true, there is a big possibility that O'Leary will be traded in this offseason. That will leave a big void in the Butchers wide receiver situation, as 290 TPE Okusi will be WR1 in that case. That will promote the need for wide receiver to one of their most dire, but I think the Butchers will still wait until about round 3 to draft a wide receiver as most of the top prospects are expected to remain on the board until that point and they need defensive backs, a position which tend to have the top prospect disappear very early. However, I can see the Butchers drafting multiple receiviers- perhaps one in the third and one of the tier 2 players in round 5 to 6- to replenish their depth after the loss of O'Leary.
Summary: most likely target a tier 1 or 1.5 WR with their 3rd, or maybe 2nd. Might draft another WR(tier 2 ) with later round pick if they trade away O'Leary.
Baltimore Hawks
Next season, the Hawks will have 2 active wide receivers in their NSFL roster, as Errol Maddox recently announced his retirement. Asher Quinn, a S18 player, has 591 TPE while S21 Chris Cross has 517. As both of then are active and got several seasons before regression, there's not a big need for a wide receiver. On top of that, the Hawks got Nick Kaepercolin in the DSFL, who will most likely be called up and fill in the gap induced by Maddox's retirement as he is a max earner. So, there is no real reason for the Hawks to draft another wide receiver, as anyone they draft will be sent down to the DSFL for multiple seasons or change positions. Plus, they have more needy positions like defensive end, defensive tackle, and linebacker.
Summary: unlikely to draft any wide receiver.
Honolulu Hahalua
The Hahalua wide receiver room is even more crowded and younger than that of the Hawks. Jed Podolak is S19, Jacoby Clay is S20, and William Alexander is a S22 rookie. All of them are active and earning well. On top of that, they have Daymond Brooks sent down to the DSFL. As Brooks is active and earning albeit a bit slowly, he will be looking for a NSFL roster sopt in a season of two. If you add Brooks in the mix atop the currebt young wide receiver corps, you get literally no room for a S23 wide receiver to get in. The Hahalua will most likely focus on defence in this draft, as they need a lot of players in that side if the ball, such as linebackers, cornerbacks and safeties.
Summary: unlikely to draft any wide receiver
Arizona Outlaws
The Outlaws are a yound team coming out of a rebuild. The wide receiver corps are no exception to that. S17 Saba Dount will enter regression after S23, but he will stick around for a few seasons wven after regression given his TPE levels. And Jah Bur' Berry and Thomas Passman are S20 and S22 respectively, so they are far away from regression. As all three are active and earning, there won't be a need forba wide receiver for a few seasons. On top of that, the Outlaws have a DSFL Senddown in Frederick Vequain. Vequain, while not a top notch earner, is still active and earning, and will most likely be ready ti take over Donut's sopt when he eventually hangs it up. So I don't see the Outlaws drafting any wide receivers apart from maybe a depth move in the later rounds.
Summary: Might draft a tier 2 receiver at later round for depth or won't draft one at all.
Sarasota Sailfish
The WR situation for the Sailfish is quite similar to that of the Outlaws, they have S17 Dexter Banks II, who will stick around for a few season through regression, and a young, active players behind him with Rayne Gordon and Michael Witheblock. So it is most likely that this WR corps will be holding on intace for a few seasons until Banks retires. However, unlike the Outlaws, the have no senddown wide receivers in the DSFL, so they will need to find the eventual successor to Banks in this draft or next draft. As this draft has deep wide receiver depth and most of those talent are expected to slide, I think they'll draft one this season. The Sailfish will look to draft a receiver at late 3rd round or 4th round after they address their more pressing needs like defensive tackle. Their nost likely target at that point will be high end 1.5 tier players like Videl- San or low tier 1 players remaining until that point.
Summary: Will target low tier 1- high tier 1.5 players at late 3rd to 4th round.
New Orleans second line
The Second Line's wide receiver situation is quite interesting. They certainly need a wide receiver as Ed Barker will be their only receiver in the NSFL roster next season as Bona'beri Jones is set to retire at the end of this season. However, the Secobd down currently has two DSFL senddown receivers in Blake Alexander and Sean Snyder, who are active despite being low earners. So the Second Line's choice can vary here, as they can either call those senddowns up and help them earn faster, or draft a top notch talent in this draft, as they don't have significant other holes to fill in their roster currently. I think they'll choose the latter option, as they can certainly afford to draft a wide receiver with a late 2nd ir 3rd with their current roster situation. So I think the Second Line will be the destination for the top receiver of this class.
Summary: Will likely go for the top wide receiver of the class.
Austin Copperheads
The Copperheads has two young and active receivers in rookie Eddie Jeeta and S18 Net Gaines. However, Rod Tidwell will enter his second season of regression this offseason. And while Tidwell will be good for a few more seasons, it will be wise to select and ready his successor in this draft considering the wide receiver depth of this draft class. The most likely target for the Copperheads is one of the 1.5 tier players, who are very likely to remain by the time the Copperheads are likely to start considering a wide receiver, which is about 4th or 5th round after they address other, more needy positions like defensive tackle.
Summary: Will aim for 1.5 tier receivers.
Colorado Yeti
The Yeti also has two very young and active wide receivers in Red Arrow and William Lim, who are S21 and S22 respectively. However, James Bishop is very deep in regression as a S12 player and sits close to the twilight of his career. He might hang on for one or two more season, but it is most likely that he will hang it up in the near future. The successor for Bishop, however, is most likely chosen as another S22 wide receiver Leeroy Jenkins is currently in the DSFL and is ready to be called up at moment's notice with him being active and having about 300 TPE. When Jenkins is called up, the Yeti will have the youngest wide receiver corps in the whole NSFL with one S21 and two S22 players. So there's no real reason to draft another wideout as anyone drafted will most likely spend a lot of time down in the DSFL, which is highly unproductive for both player and the team. So I can't see the Yeti drafting any receivers this season.
Summary: unlikely to draft andy wide receiver.
San Jose Sabercats
The Sabercats currently has two wideouts in S17 Action Jackson and S19 Deondre Thomas- Fox, both of whom are active and earning. However, as Jackson will enter regression after S23, it is logical to draft a successor to him in this draft. Like the Copperheads, the Sabercats are also most likely to draft a wide receiver with their 4th or 5th round picks after they addressed needy positions like defensive ends or safeties. At that point of the draft, 1.5 tier players will be available, along with lower end tier 1 players. So they will be the most likely target for the Sabercats.
Summary: Will move to draft a receiver in 4th-5th round.
Yellowknife Wraiths
The Wraiths got a young future WR1 in S18 player Bender B. Rodriguez, and while Willie B. Hardagain didn't update in over a month, I think there's a good chance he'll update again as he was very recently seen in the forums. And while Nate Swift is deep inti regression as a S13 player, he'll likely hold on for another season or two before retiring. So there's no immediate for a wide receiver here. On top of that, the Wraiths got not only one, but two 300+ TPE DSFL senddown wide receivers in Susan Cash Jr. And Mike Lee. As both of them will be called up and taking up Swift's and Hardagain's (if he doesn't earn) spot, there's really no reason to draft another wide receiver. As they wil be in the DSFL for a long time like the Yeti's case.
Summary: unlikely to draft any wide receiver.
Orange County Otters
The Otters currebtly has two wide receivers in the roster. Hugh Mongo will enter regression after this season, but he'll stick around for several seasons as he has 1212 TPE. And Future Trunks is S21 and active, so he'll be around for a very long time. That means there's no immediate need to draft a wide receiver for the Otters. Plus, they have S22 player Garfield Despacito Jr , who has almost 300 TPE, in the DSFL. Despacito will most likely be called up and be the WR3 for the Otters next season. So the Otters are most likely to draft a tier 2 wideout in the later rounds for depth and future WR3 spot fter Mongo retires.
Summary: Will target tier 2 receivers in later rounds.
(2181)
Before we start
The S23 class has unusually high numbers of wide receivers, and 14 total players remain even after many more changed positions. Among those 14, 11 had updated in the update of may 16th, the latest update at this point. This is almost as much actives as S22 class, which, despite having high inactive percentage, still had huge numbers in every positions. Those players can be categorized into several tiers like below.
Tier 1: Kai Sakura (206 TPE), Tychondrius Hood (193 TPE), Luca Scabbia (191 TPE)
Tier 1.5: Videl- San (183 TPE), Jackson Kingston (176 TPE), Dre Matthews (175 TPE), Doug Howlett (174 TPE)
Tier 2: Griff Oberwald (159 TPE), Deonte Washington* (138 TPE), Benoit Blanco (131 TPE), Brock Bodenheimer (126 TPE)
*Washington did not update in may 16th update, his last update being one of the may 2nd. However, I included him in the list as he was seen very recently.
Those 11, plus Washington whom I think will update and earn, will most likely be the wide receivers taken in the meaningful rounds (I'm projecting about first to mid sixth round as this class has low inactive percentage) of the S23 NSFL draft. One thing that I can immediately notice from this overview is that there is no big dip of TPE among the tier 1 and 1.5 players, which means their value can collectively drop added with the current wide receiver situations in the NSFL. Speaking of the NSFL, let's move on to team by team analysis without further ado.
Chicago Butchers The Butchers currently has two wide receivers in their NSFL roster. One, Sean O'Leary, is active with 841 TPE. However, Jerome Davis, the other wide receiver in the roster, had been inactive for quite some time and only has 287 TPE to his name. The Butchers also has an active senddown wide receiver in S21 Raheem Okusi, who is both active and already has more TPE than Davis at 290. So it is expected that Okusi will be called up and occupy the WR2 spot currently held by Davis. So, wide receiver won't be the highest need under staus quo, as the Butchers has more immediate needs in other positions like safeties and cornerbacks.
However, there had been a rumor about the Butchers trying to trade O' Leary away. One rumor even stated that the Butchers were close to a deal with an undisclosed team. If that is true, there is a big possibility that O'Leary will be traded in this offseason. That will leave a big void in the Butchers wide receiver situation, as 290 TPE Okusi will be WR1 in that case. That will promote the need for wide receiver to one of their most dire, but I think the Butchers will still wait until about round 3 to draft a wide receiver as most of the top prospects are expected to remain on the board until that point and they need defensive backs, a position which tend to have the top prospect disappear very early. However, I can see the Butchers drafting multiple receiviers- perhaps one in the third and one of the tier 2 players in round 5 to 6- to replenish their depth after the loss of O'Leary.
Summary: most likely target a tier 1 or 1.5 WR with their 3rd, or maybe 2nd. Might draft another WR(tier 2 ) with later round pick if they trade away O'Leary.
Baltimore Hawks Next season, the Hawks will have 2 active wide receivers in their NSFL roster, as Errol Maddox recently announced his retirement. Asher Quinn, a S18 player, has 591 TPE while S21 Chris Cross has 517. As both of then are active and got several seasons before regression, there's not a big need for a wide receiver. On top of that, the Hawks got Nick Kaepercolin in the DSFL, who will most likely be called up and fill in the gap induced by Maddox's retirement as he is a max earner. So, there is no real reason for the Hawks to draft another wide receiver, as anyone they draft will be sent down to the DSFL for multiple seasons or change positions. Plus, they have more needy positions like defensive end, defensive tackle, and linebacker.
Summary: unlikely to draft any wide receiver.
Honolulu Hahalua The Hahalua wide receiver room is even more crowded and younger than that of the Hawks. Jed Podolak is S19, Jacoby Clay is S20, and William Alexander is a S22 rookie. All of them are active and earning well. On top of that, they have Daymond Brooks sent down to the DSFL. As Brooks is active and earning albeit a bit slowly, he will be looking for a NSFL roster sopt in a season of two. If you add Brooks in the mix atop the currebt young wide receiver corps, you get literally no room for a S23 wide receiver to get in. The Hahalua will most likely focus on defence in this draft, as they need a lot of players in that side if the ball, such as linebackers, cornerbacks and safeties.
Summary: unlikely to draft any wide receiver
Arizona Outlaws The Outlaws are a yound team coming out of a rebuild. The wide receiver corps are no exception to that. S17 Saba Dount will enter regression after S23, but he will stick around for a few seasons wven after regression given his TPE levels. And Jah Bur' Berry and Thomas Passman are S20 and S22 respectively, so they are far away from regression. As all three are active and earning, there won't be a need forba wide receiver for a few seasons. On top of that, the Outlaws have a DSFL Senddown in Frederick Vequain. Vequain, while not a top notch earner, is still active and earning, and will most likely be ready ti take over Donut's sopt when he eventually hangs it up. So I don't see the Outlaws drafting any wide receivers apart from maybe a depth move in the later rounds.
Summary: Might draft a tier 2 receiver at later round for depth or won't draft one at all.
Sarasota Sailfish The WR situation for the Sailfish is quite similar to that of the Outlaws, they have S17 Dexter Banks II, who will stick around for a few season through regression, and a young, active players behind him with Rayne Gordon and Michael Witheblock. So it is most likely that this WR corps will be holding on intace for a few seasons until Banks retires. However, unlike the Outlaws, the have no senddown wide receivers in the DSFL, so they will need to find the eventual successor to Banks in this draft or next draft. As this draft has deep wide receiver depth and most of those talent are expected to slide, I think they'll draft one this season. The Sailfish will look to draft a receiver at late 3rd round or 4th round after they address their more pressing needs like defensive tackle. Their nost likely target at that point will be high end 1.5 tier players like Videl- San or low tier 1 players remaining until that point.
Summary: Will target low tier 1- high tier 1.5 players at late 3rd to 4th round.
New Orleans second line The Second Line's wide receiver situation is quite interesting. They certainly need a wide receiver as Ed Barker will be their only receiver in the NSFL roster next season as Bona'beri Jones is set to retire at the end of this season. However, the Secobd down currently has two DSFL senddown receivers in Blake Alexander and Sean Snyder, who are active despite being low earners. So the Second Line's choice can vary here, as they can either call those senddowns up and help them earn faster, or draft a top notch talent in this draft, as they don't have significant other holes to fill in their roster currently. I think they'll choose the latter option, as they can certainly afford to draft a wide receiver with a late 2nd ir 3rd with their current roster situation. So I think the Second Line will be the destination for the top receiver of this class.
Summary: Will likely go for the top wide receiver of the class.
Austin Copperheads The Copperheads has two young and active receivers in rookie Eddie Jeeta and S18 Net Gaines. However, Rod Tidwell will enter his second season of regression this offseason. And while Tidwell will be good for a few more seasons, it will be wise to select and ready his successor in this draft considering the wide receiver depth of this draft class. The most likely target for the Copperheads is one of the 1.5 tier players, who are very likely to remain by the time the Copperheads are likely to start considering a wide receiver, which is about 4th or 5th round after they address other, more needy positions like defensive tackle.
Summary: Will aim for 1.5 tier receivers.
Colorado Yeti The Yeti also has two very young and active wide receivers in Red Arrow and William Lim, who are S21 and S22 respectively. However, James Bishop is very deep in regression as a S12 player and sits close to the twilight of his career. He might hang on for one or two more season, but it is most likely that he will hang it up in the near future. The successor for Bishop, however, is most likely chosen as another S22 wide receiver Leeroy Jenkins is currently in the DSFL and is ready to be called up at moment's notice with him being active and having about 300 TPE. When Jenkins is called up, the Yeti will have the youngest wide receiver corps in the whole NSFL with one S21 and two S22 players. So there's no real reason to draft another wideout as anyone drafted will most likely spend a lot of time down in the DSFL, which is highly unproductive for both player and the team. So I can't see the Yeti drafting any receivers this season.
Summary: unlikely to draft andy wide receiver.
San Jose Sabercats The Sabercats currently has two wideouts in S17 Action Jackson and S19 Deondre Thomas- Fox, both of whom are active and earning. However, as Jackson will enter regression after S23, it is logical to draft a successor to him in this draft. Like the Copperheads, the Sabercats are also most likely to draft a wide receiver with their 4th or 5th round picks after they addressed needy positions like defensive ends or safeties. At that point of the draft, 1.5 tier players will be available, along with lower end tier 1 players. So they will be the most likely target for the Sabercats.
Summary: Will move to draft a receiver in 4th-5th round.
Yellowknife Wraiths The Wraiths got a young future WR1 in S18 player Bender B. Rodriguez, and while Willie B. Hardagain didn't update in over a month, I think there's a good chance he'll update again as he was very recently seen in the forums. And while Nate Swift is deep inti regression as a S13 player, he'll likely hold on for another season or two before retiring. So there's no immediate for a wide receiver here. On top of that, the Wraiths got not only one, but two 300+ TPE DSFL senddown wide receivers in Susan Cash Jr. And Mike Lee. As both of them will be called up and taking up Swift's and Hardagain's (if he doesn't earn) spot, there's really no reason to draft another wide receiver. As they wil be in the DSFL for a long time like the Yeti's case.
Summary: unlikely to draft any wide receiver.
Orange County Otters The Otters currebtly has two wide receivers in the roster. Hugh Mongo will enter regression after this season, but he'll stick around for several seasons as he has 1212 TPE. And Future Trunks is S21 and active, so he'll be around for a very long time. That means there's no immediate need to draft a wide receiver for the Otters. Plus, they have S22 player Garfield Despacito Jr , who has almost 300 TPE, in the DSFL. Despacito will most likely be called up and be the WR3 for the Otters next season. So the Otters are most likely to draft a tier 2 wideout in the later rounds for depth and future WR3 spot fter Mongo retires.
Summary: Will target tier 2 receivers in later rounds.
(2181)
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