I PROP BETS ARE BACK! So everyone thank Bayley when you get a chance. So who should you bet on this week? These are my hot takes.
DISCLAIMER: If you lose all you money in the casino, my lawyer has advised me to reiterate that these are merely *suggestions*.
PROP BETS:
Over/Under: 2.5 Away Team Victories
Based on my breakdown of the Week 9 matchups and my predictions located HERE, I would strongly recommend taking the OVER on this one. Sarasota, Colorado, and Yellowknife have very good chance to win on the road, while Chicago and Berlin also have opportunities to cause road upsets. This isn’t the bet I put the most money into.
OVER/UNDER: Mattathias Caliban - QB - 275.5 Passing Yards
So Yeti are sitting at 4-4 record with their only real challenging win being against NOLA. CAN Yeti beat Honolulu today? Yes, I think so. However looking at the index Yeti is averaging 219 yards of passing offense per game. If I absolutely had to pick, I’d put a small portion of money on UNDER and see if Colorado’s ground game can’t help them win. Really though this might be a bet I ultimately pass on.
OVER/UNDER: Tatsu Nakamura 81.5 yds Rushing
This is another close one for me. With Orange County playing at home against Chicago, I absolutely expect Orange County to win. Ramza has been tearing up the league though. Nakamura is a team asset for sure. Ia similar home game against Colorado in Week 7 Tatsu had a total of 86 yards rushing. However, with 446 yards on the season, that breaks down to just 56 yards per game. If I absolutely had to choose, I would put a small amount of money on UNDER, but again this might be one that I skip.
OVER/UNDER: 46.5 Points in PHI @ NYS
As I mentioned in my predictions post, this is a game that New York absolutely needs to win. With both teams struggling a little bit this season, I expect this game to be more of a defensive duke out as opposed an offensive one. I put money on in the UNDER for this game.
OVER/UNDER: Joseph Petrongolo 74.5 Rushing Yards
So similar to the Tatsu bet, Joe has 469 yards on the season which breaks down to an average of 59 yards per game. Unlike the Tatsu bet though, Berlin doesn’t have a Ramza. As their veteran running back, Joe’s success will determine Berlin’s chance to succeed. That being said; since I have Berlin beating Austin as one of my upsets this week, I expect Joe to have one hell of a game. If you’re betting on this prop, put money on the OVER.
Over/Under: Michael Witheblock 93.5 yds Receiving
Now I have Witheblock in on my fantasy team AND I project Sarasota to beat San Jose this week. If you break down Witheblock’s 775 yards on the season you end up with an average of 97 yards per game. This was an easy OVER for me.
OVER/UNDER: 2.5 Arizona D sacks
Whatever Arizona lacks that’s made them 3-5 on the season, Baltimore is hurting more. Baltimore is currently last in the league and is playing Arizona at home. While 3 sacks is really not a high number to beat, sacks are always hard to predict. I definitely think I would pick the OVER on this bet, but maybe not go wild on the amount.
Thanks for reading <3
DISCLAIMER: If you lose all you money in the casino, my lawyer has advised me to reiterate that these are merely *suggestions*.
PROP BETS:
Over/Under: 2.5 Away Team Victories
Based on my breakdown of the Week 9 matchups and my predictions located HERE, I would strongly recommend taking the OVER on this one. Sarasota, Colorado, and Yellowknife have very good chance to win on the road, while Chicago and Berlin also have opportunities to cause road upsets. This isn’t the bet I put the most money into.
OVER/UNDER: Mattathias Caliban - QB - 275.5 Passing Yards
So Yeti are sitting at 4-4 record with their only real challenging win being against NOLA. CAN Yeti beat Honolulu today? Yes, I think so. However looking at the index Yeti is averaging 219 yards of passing offense per game. If I absolutely had to pick, I’d put a small portion of money on UNDER and see if Colorado’s ground game can’t help them win. Really though this might be a bet I ultimately pass on.
OVER/UNDER: Tatsu Nakamura 81.5 yds Rushing
This is another close one for me. With Orange County playing at home against Chicago, I absolutely expect Orange County to win. Ramza has been tearing up the league though. Nakamura is a team asset for sure. Ia similar home game against Colorado in Week 7 Tatsu had a total of 86 yards rushing. However, with 446 yards on the season, that breaks down to just 56 yards per game. If I absolutely had to choose, I would put a small amount of money on UNDER, but again this might be one that I skip.
OVER/UNDER: 46.5 Points in PHI @ NYS
As I mentioned in my predictions post, this is a game that New York absolutely needs to win. With both teams struggling a little bit this season, I expect this game to be more of a defensive duke out as opposed an offensive one. I put money on in the UNDER for this game.
OVER/UNDER: Joseph Petrongolo 74.5 Rushing Yards
So similar to the Tatsu bet, Joe has 469 yards on the season which breaks down to an average of 59 yards per game. Unlike the Tatsu bet though, Berlin doesn’t have a Ramza. As their veteran running back, Joe’s success will determine Berlin’s chance to succeed. That being said; since I have Berlin beating Austin as one of my upsets this week, I expect Joe to have one hell of a game. If you’re betting on this prop, put money on the OVER.
Over/Under: Michael Witheblock 93.5 yds Receiving
Now I have Witheblock in on my fantasy team AND I project Sarasota to beat San Jose this week. If you break down Witheblock’s 775 yards on the season you end up with an average of 97 yards per game. This was an easy OVER for me.
OVER/UNDER: 2.5 Arizona D sacks
Whatever Arizona lacks that’s made them 3-5 on the season, Baltimore is hurting more. Baltimore is currently last in the league and is playing Arizona at home. While 3 sacks is really not a high number to beat, sacks are always hard to predict. I definitely think I would pick the OVER on this bet, but maybe not go wild on the amount.
Thanks for reading <3
