Hey everyone! Earlier today, the Casino launched “6 questions for 6”, an entry-fee free bet for the whole community based on 6 questions for Week 11’s Primetime game of Austin Copperheads vs Arizona Outlaws in which the 2 top sides of the ASFC fight for the 1st seed in the whole conference, and maybe even throughout the playoffs. Since I can’t bet without making a ton of research to back it up, I decided to have a quick look at how each team and the player involved have done this season. And so I came up with some tips, so you can have the best chance possible at winning as many as $13.5 million!
And here they are:
1. How many receiving yards will Videl-San have?
Despite Videl-San’s record of 88 yards per game this season, he has slightly underperformed against top sides. In the 4 games Austin played against top opposition (NY, BER, SAR, and Arizona), he averaged 65 yards, a statistic that was severely damaged by Austin’s bad passing game against Berlin, where Videl got only 1 reception for 9 yards. And in their defeat against Arizona, the WR got only 66 yards.
In the Copperheads’ victories against top sides (AZ and NY), however, Videl got 105 and 81 yards, respectively. If you’re betting on a win for Austin, maybe you can even bet on more yards. If you’re betting on a win for Arizona, stay with the 78-107. If you’re confident enough on AZ’s defense (which conceded 37 points against Austin earlier in the season), maybe even less yards.
My suggestion: 78-107 yards
2. How many rushing yards will Tatsu Nakamura have?
Nakamura has had an amazing season, with an average of 100 yards per game. In the first encounter between the two teams Nakamura got 139 yards. And 208 yards against the Silverbacks, the league’s 6th best rush defense. In the other of the Outlaws’ most difficult games of the season (HON, CHI, and COL), however, the RB averaged 46. I’d say to go all in and go for either 47-77 yards or 108+ yards, depending on who you’re betting to win it all.
My suggestion: More than 138 yards.
3. Who will score the first touchdown of the second half?
That’s an easy one. No position player has been involved in more TDs this year than Tatsu Nakamura. We obviously can’t really predict this, so I’d say to go with the player that has the highest chances of doing it.
My suggestion: Tatsu Nakamura
4. How long will the longest punt be?
As far as punting goes, both teams are very much middle of the pack, with both punters averaging about 46.5 yards per punt. Jay-Jaymison, Arizona’s Kicker/Punter does not average long punts even in his longest punts, with an average of 55.6 yards on longest punt on longest punt per game. Bloomfield, however, does considerably better, at 60.7. And his average against top opposition is good too, at 60.25 (in their 4 toughest games of the season – NY, BER, SAR, and Arizona. This is very much random, so I’m not going to speculate too much here. I rarely believe in luck in sports, but this is very much so. I’m going to base my guess on that average of yards per longest punt per game, but go with whatever you want. I’d just recommend sticking close to the 57-62 threshold.
My suggestion: 60-62 yards
5. How many points will be scored in the game?
Their first encounter of the season ended up a 37-30 offensive masterclass. Both teams have been averaging 30+ points a game. Austin has not scored less than 20 points in the season yet, and Arizona has not scored less than 28 in any game other than their season opening defeat to Honolulu. This one’s an easy one for me. 60+ points
My suggestion: 58-65 points
6. Which team will win, and by how many points?
If we’re going to talk about an offensive masterclass, then the team that scores the most points is the most likely to win. If you think defense is going to come up huge today, that’s fair too. Who has the best defense out of the 2? Arizona. Who has the best offense out of the 2? Arizona. Who is going to win? Arizona.
Both teams have lost 2 twice this season, by an average of 6.75 points and only 1 game by a margin bigger than 7. So it’s going to be a close one, but maybe not as much 1-4 points. With so many TDs going around, I’d bet for a 1 possession game but again, not too close.
My suggestion: Arizona Outlaws by 5-9 points
And here they are:
1. How many receiving yards will Videl-San have?
Despite Videl-San’s record of 88 yards per game this season, he has slightly underperformed against top sides. In the 4 games Austin played against top opposition (NY, BER, SAR, and Arizona), he averaged 65 yards, a statistic that was severely damaged by Austin’s bad passing game against Berlin, where Videl got only 1 reception for 9 yards. And in their defeat against Arizona, the WR got only 66 yards.
In the Copperheads’ victories against top sides (AZ and NY), however, Videl got 105 and 81 yards, respectively. If you’re betting on a win for Austin, maybe you can even bet on more yards. If you’re betting on a win for Arizona, stay with the 78-107. If you’re confident enough on AZ’s defense (which conceded 37 points against Austin earlier in the season), maybe even less yards.
My suggestion: 78-107 yards
2. How many rushing yards will Tatsu Nakamura have?
Nakamura has had an amazing season, with an average of 100 yards per game. In the first encounter between the two teams Nakamura got 139 yards. And 208 yards against the Silverbacks, the league’s 6th best rush defense. In the other of the Outlaws’ most difficult games of the season (HON, CHI, and COL), however, the RB averaged 46. I’d say to go all in and go for either 47-77 yards or 108+ yards, depending on who you’re betting to win it all.
My suggestion: More than 138 yards.
3. Who will score the first touchdown of the second half?
That’s an easy one. No position player has been involved in more TDs this year than Tatsu Nakamura. We obviously can’t really predict this, so I’d say to go with the player that has the highest chances of doing it.
My suggestion: Tatsu Nakamura
4. How long will the longest punt be?
As far as punting goes, both teams are very much middle of the pack, with both punters averaging about 46.5 yards per punt. Jay-Jaymison, Arizona’s Kicker/Punter does not average long punts even in his longest punts, with an average of 55.6 yards on longest punt on longest punt per game. Bloomfield, however, does considerably better, at 60.7. And his average against top opposition is good too, at 60.25 (in their 4 toughest games of the season – NY, BER, SAR, and Arizona. This is very much random, so I’m not going to speculate too much here. I rarely believe in luck in sports, but this is very much so. I’m going to base my guess on that average of yards per longest punt per game, but go with whatever you want. I’d just recommend sticking close to the 57-62 threshold.
My suggestion: 60-62 yards
5. How many points will be scored in the game?
Their first encounter of the season ended up a 37-30 offensive masterclass. Both teams have been averaging 30+ points a game. Austin has not scored less than 20 points in the season yet, and Arizona has not scored less than 28 in any game other than their season opening defeat to Honolulu. This one’s an easy one for me. 60+ points
My suggestion: 58-65 points
6. Which team will win, and by how many points?
If we’re going to talk about an offensive masterclass, then the team that scores the most points is the most likely to win. If you think defense is going to come up huge today, that’s fair too. Who has the best defense out of the 2? Arizona. Who has the best offense out of the 2? Arizona. Who is going to win? Arizona.
Both teams have lost 2 twice this season, by an average of 6.75 points and only 1 game by a margin bigger than 7. So it’s going to be a close one, but maybe not as much 1-4 points. With so many TDs going around, I’d bet for a 1 possession game but again, not too close.
My suggestion: Arizona Outlaws by 5-9 points
All my suggestions combined:
1. 78-107 yards
2. More than 138 yards
3. Tatsu Nakamura
4. 60-62 yards
5. 58-65 points
6. Arizona Outlaws by 5-9 points
