*NSFL Watchability Week 13

[Modern_Duke]

Shout out to infinite for his playoff odds article which helped here
http://nsfl.jcink.net/index.php?showtopic=...=0&#entry228899

5. Orange County Otters at Baltimore Hawks
Team: 0.3750
Offense: .2792
Defense: .1204

No Playoff Implications

X Factor: -.50
Total: 0.2746

Notes: Very good matchup on paper, but it means nothing. OCO looks to maintain positive momentum heading into the playoffs after 4 straight wins.

4. Yellowknife Wraiths at Arizona Outlaws
Team: 0.6111
Offense: .2829
Defense: .1158

No Playoff Implications

X Factor: -.50
Total: 0.5099

Notes: Same thing, this means nothing. Just to note though, a few weeks ago I took a look at what the most watchable game would be and found the Index number came to just under 1.000. This one actually comes in just over 1 before the adjustment. So this would be a phenomenal game if there was anything on the line.

3. Philadelphia Liberty at Austin Copperheads
Team: 0.1250
Offense: .2479
Defense: .1067

Philadelphia Playoff % With Win (w/ COL points tiebreaker): 21.17%
Philadelphia Eliminated With Loss
Austin Clinch Playoffs Wtih Win
Austin Playoff % With Loss: >99.9999%

X Factor: +0.15
Total: 0.6296

Notes: Austin is for all intents and purposes clinched. Philly meanwhile is hanging around somehow, even with the worst record in the league. A lot needs to fall their way though.

2. Colorado Yeti at San Jose SaberCats
Team: 0.1111
Offense: .1742
Defense: .1063

Playoff Implications:
Colorado Clinch Playoffs With Win
Colorado Playoff % With Loss: 59.02% (I think I calculated that correctly?)
San Jose Eliminated

X Factor: +0.25
Total: 0.6415

Notes: Just 5 weeks ago, the Yeti had a winning record while the SaberCats were 1-6. Now the Yeti are on a serious skid and just made the baffling decision to bench their starting cornerback and potential Defensive Rookie of the Year candidate Louisiana Purchase without warning or explanation in last week's loss to Arizona. Um, anyway, this is a pretty good game considering the quality of the teams.

1. New Orleans Second Line at Chicago Butchers
Team: 0.1389
Offense: .2242
Defense: .0758

New Orleans Playoff % With Win: >0.0001%
New Orleans Eliminated With Loss
Chicago Playoff % Wtih Win: 31%
Chicago Eliminated With Loss

X Factor: +0.25
Total: 0.6889

Notes: You know when you buy a lottery ticket, and you know it's not going to win, but the point is it's just for the purposes of fantasizing about crazy it would be if you won? New Orleans isn't going to make the playoff. Period. End of story...unless... nah jk