Hello. It's Week 12, which means it's time to load up the W11 Sim File,
press sim season twice, load up and write down the standings, and rinse
and repeat 100 times. This is a flawed projection of what will happen,
but still an interesting look at the possible playoff scenarios.
N1:
100%(CLINCHED)
N2:
99% 
1%
N3: 89% 
10% 1%
miss playoffs: 90% 10%
A1:
93% 
7%
A2:
70% 
19% 7% 4%
A3: 49% 28% 23%
miss playoffs: 53% 40% 7%
ASFC is a bit more interesting than the NSFC as of now. (COME ON PHILLY). How wild is it that San Jose has a 7% chance of winning the ASFC 1 seed this late in the season?
HFA: 57% TIE 36% 7%
I'm not sure who gets the tiebreaker since these 2 didn't play each other
this season. Is it best record vs common opponents? Strength of Victory?
Who knows. So I just noted the ties as ties.
press sim season twice, load up and write down the standings, and rinse
and repeat 100 times. This is a flawed projection of what will happen,
but still an interesting look at the possible playoff scenarios.
N1:
100%(CLINCHED)N2:
99% 1%N3:
89% 10% 1% miss playoffs:
90% 10%A1:
93% 7% A2:
70% 19% 7% 4%A3:
49% 28% 23%miss playoffs:
53% 40% 7%ASFC is a bit more interesting than the NSFC as of now. (COME ON PHILLY). How wild is it that San Jose has a 7% chance of winning the ASFC 1 seed this late in the season?
HFA:
57% TIE 36% 7%I'm not sure who gets the tiebreaker since these 2 didn't play each other
this season. Is it best record vs common opponents? Strength of Victory?
Who knows. So I just noted the ties as ties.
![[Image: MOSHED-2021-7-8-23-9-42.gif]](https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/862920505216204831/862923540743192596/MOSHED-2021-7-8-23-9-42.gif)
