This is a good start at analysing adjusted rush yardage
It's similar to something I put together last season for "adjusted offense" and "adjusted defense" but never published because I thought it was too superficial, but this is more focused so it works a bit better.
You're right about the strength of schedule thing (round robin schedule etc), but have you considered going one more level deeper in granularity and seeing if home/away matters? I created a rating index formula based loosely on RPI that adjusts based on home/away results (home wins are worth 0.6 wins, away wins are worth 1.4 wins, for example) and I'm curious as to how home field advantage affects rushing averages (if at all).
Play-by-play analysis was my eventual aim (still working on a way to isolate the required information easily) because current score, down, field position etc would all make a difference too. But that's a long way down the road, obviously. Stupid amounts of work needed for that.
It's similar to something I put together last season for "adjusted offense" and "adjusted defense" but never published because I thought it was too superficial, but this is more focused so it works a bit better.
You're right about the strength of schedule thing (round robin schedule etc), but have you considered going one more level deeper in granularity and seeing if home/away matters? I created a rating index formula based loosely on RPI that adjusts based on home/away results (home wins are worth 0.6 wins, away wins are worth 1.4 wins, for example) and I'm curious as to how home field advantage affects rushing averages (if at all).
Play-by-play analysis was my eventual aim (still working on a way to isolate the required information easily) because current score, down, field position etc would all make a difference too. But that's a long way down the road, obviously. Stupid amounts of work needed for that.
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