(04-24-2018, 05:53 PM)CDub2 Wrote:Love this analysis.Yeah that's one of the things I found weirdest about this whole thing and I think the reason, for example, that teams like New Orleans and Colorado are rated above Yellowknife in the position groupings is that I only used counting stats. That is, if an offense runs 70 plays against Defense A and 90 against Defense B the players on Defense B will accumulate more statistics even though they likely had a worse performance as a team. That could be as a result of that defense's offense being good and holding onto the ball a lot (but not so good that they score quickly) or that the defense is able to force short possessions.
It's funny how the YKW defence groups are rated so low compared to the other elite teams (Table 3) but the defence as a whole, the Wraiths are number one in the league for points against, yards allowed, and rush defence.
I don't think it's a coincidence that Yellowknife and Arizona both came out lower than I expected and those are the top two rushing offenses by yards. Baltimore is the other high volume rushing offense and I think an argument could be made that they're below expectations here, too.