I suspect the stats of the fumbler (STR, HND, AGI maybe) might play a part, but right now it would be a lot of work to gather the required data to check that theory.
I'm working on something that might be able to scrape a bit more info from the play-by-play, though. Like dropped passes, what type of penalties are being given up, and a bit more detail on the field position when a play occurs -- because not all 5 yard passes are equal, and then we can maybe, between us, come up with an "expected points" metric or something of the sort.
I'm working on something that might be able to scrape a bit more info from the play-by-play, though. Like dropped passes, what type of penalties are being given up, and a bit more detail on the field position when a play occurs -- because not all 5 yard passes are equal, and then we can maybe, between us, come up with an "expected points" metric or something of the sort.
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