*Value Oriented Breakkdown on the CHI/PHL Trade

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Yeah totally all fair - there is going to be a gap in results if you move him to CB but if you replace your second lowest CB you're getting a 757TPE increase at first CB. Second corner increases by 343TPE. At that point Leaf can't swap again from what I've been told so you either have to swap Farley to WR or you're running a 287TPE at your second WR and a 650TPE at your first WR. Thats a 337TPE reduction at first receiver and a 363TPE reduction at second receiver.

Thats a 700TPE change at receiver for a 1100TE change at Corner. I can buy that all that realignment gives you a marginally better chance at success than before but I find it hard to believe that it makes up for the 37.08% control study to truly launch you into contention. I'll run the numbers on it with default WK1 playbooks later today or tomorrow though just to back check this.

Its all theory and I understand you believing in the moves you made - I expect nothing less - but any way you slice it if even if it works out its still an extremely risky move, which was the underlying message of my post and my original reply to you. Its an innovating but RISKY approach to teambuilding that requires moving the needle for you substantially from where it was before to make a longterm impact.

Appreciate the reply! So a few more thoughts on this:
1) The offset TPE amount on offense is exactly the amount which we just traded for - ~750 TPE
2) Leaf can't swap but running 2 RBs allows one to be designated as FB, which allows a RB to play at outside WR. Now, they can't be designated primary WR but they can still take snaps there and carry as a RB in some sets. So there is some plan to do that (not really a leak there)
3) Using week 1 playbooks will give a different result against different teams, as tempo changes week to week can drastically change your win % depending on the team you are facing (for example, going from Very Fast to Normal changed ours 5% week 2 or 3, whenever that change was made). This can have a cascading effect if you don't set up your tests to optimize vs. each team.

This is really good feedback though, and am loving the opportunity to cross-examine my processes and data. Keep it coming!