Why talk about hypothetical stocks when we have actual stock prices?
Let’s look at the Chicago Butchers. On the face, it seems fairly straightforward. They lose a game and the stock goes down. They win a game and the stock goes up.
But, what’s really happening?
In week 1, they lost on the road against the Colorado Yeti. Widely considered to be one of the best teams in the ISFL, a loss against the Yeti (especially on the road) should not be too discouraging. Thus, a 4% loss seems reasonable.
When Chicago visited Baltimore, the week 2 opponent, the Butchers lost more than 7%. They kept the game marginally closer, but it’s still a worse loss. Ok.
A home loss against the Yellowknife Wraiths only lost 2% for the Butchers. We know the sim loves home field advantage, but that seems within the realm of reasonable.
However, a week 4 win at home against the winless Philadelphia Liberty gave Chicago a 17.5% boost. Sure, the Butchers were winless at that point too, but a home win against a weaker opponent more than made up for their first 3 weeks. Perhaps this was too much.
Another reasonable outcome in week 5, the Butchers tumbled 2% after a road loss against the undefeated Sailfish.
So, that is the stock journey for the Butchers. Does it make sense? Only time will tell.
Let’s look at the Chicago Butchers. On the face, it seems fairly straightforward. They lose a game and the stock goes down. They win a game and the stock goes up.
But, what’s really happening?
In week 1, they lost on the road against the Colorado Yeti. Widely considered to be one of the best teams in the ISFL, a loss against the Yeti (especially on the road) should not be too discouraging. Thus, a 4% loss seems reasonable.
When Chicago visited Baltimore, the week 2 opponent, the Butchers lost more than 7%. They kept the game marginally closer, but it’s still a worse loss. Ok.
A home loss against the Yellowknife Wraiths only lost 2% for the Butchers. We know the sim loves home field advantage, but that seems within the realm of reasonable.
However, a week 4 win at home against the winless Philadelphia Liberty gave Chicago a 17.5% boost. Sure, the Butchers were winless at that point too, but a home win against a weaker opponent more than made up for their first 3 weeks. Perhaps this was too much.
Another reasonable outcome in week 5, the Butchers tumbled 2% after a road loss against the undefeated Sailfish.
So, that is the stock journey for the Butchers. Does it make sense? Only time will tell.
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