4. “Sim gonna sim” is a popular expression in the league. Write about teams that have been graced by the sim gods and had amazing performances despite statistical odds, and/or about teams that were considered favorites but may have dealt with some bad sim luck that hampered their efforts. How much of an impact did it have on their season(s)?
If we're talking about "Sim gonna sim" we have to look no further than the Honolulu Hahalua this season. The Hahalua are coming off of their championship winning season and this season they see themselves outside of the playoffs. The team was supposed to be back in the title running after adding and improving on their roster from last season, but unfortunately with their tougher division and a lot of poor sim luck, the team could not meet their expectations of returning to the playoffs. Had the Hahalua just had a little bit of sim luck to end the season, winning 1, even maybe two of the final 5 games, the team would have definitely saw themselves in the playoffs.
Where did it go wrong? Just looking at their 5 game losing streak to end the season, you know it was a result of some poor luck. For example, in 2 of the 5 losses to end the season, they were playing against lower ranked teams the the San Jose Sabercats and the New Orleans Secondline. Both these teams have negative point differentials of -55 and -117 respectively compared to the Hahalua's +43. Despite this, Honolulu lost by 2 points and 7 points to those teams. Furthermore, in both of those games Honolulu gave up 23 and 28 points in the 2nd quarter which is 2 times as many points typically given up by the Hahalua in a quarter. Had the Hahalua won either or even both of the games, the standings would look quite different as they could have seen themselves back in the playoffs.
Looking at the game against the Sabercats in specific, Honolulu had the possession for two-thirds of the time against them. This is in addition to the 3 fumbles by San Jose and 1 loss that San Jose had, but despite all these metrics that indicate the the Hahalua should have won the game, the score did not end up that way. Additional metrics that the Hahalua team has "gotten simmed" include the fact that the Hahalua had basically twice the number of first downs and third downs, but the sim just did not want to give the team the win.
Taking a closer look at the game against the New Orleans Second Line who finished with a -117 point differential, the Hahalua were unlucky to have 2 fumbles and 1 interception compared to the Second Line's 1 fumble. In addition to that, the two teams had just as many first downs and third downs, but the Hahalua were unlucky in a sense that they converted half the amount of third downs as the New Orleans Second Line. This in addition to the unusual 28 points allowed in the 2nd quarter shows how poor Honolulu's sim luck has been. Comparing this game to their earlier game against New Orleans this season, it is clear how poor of an end of the season Honolulu had. In their first regular season game against New Orleans this season, the team won 41-7 which is a much larger margin in comparison. The team had no fumbles, no interceptions, and were able to convert basically twice as many times as they did in the unlucky second game.
I think it is pretty clear that the Hahalua were very unlucky with the sim to end the season as any amount of sim luck would have seen them in the playoffs right now. This is not to take away from the teams currently in the playoffs, but had the New York Silverbacks had as bad of sim luck as Honolulu. The team could have very well lost their 39-36 game against the Sabercats who had more time with possession. Regardless, the "sim gonna sim" and the team now has to hope the luck turns around for next season.
636 Words
If we're talking about "Sim gonna sim" we have to look no further than the Honolulu Hahalua this season. The Hahalua are coming off of their championship winning season and this season they see themselves outside of the playoffs. The team was supposed to be back in the title running after adding and improving on their roster from last season, but unfortunately with their tougher division and a lot of poor sim luck, the team could not meet their expectations of returning to the playoffs. Had the Hahalua just had a little bit of sim luck to end the season, winning 1, even maybe two of the final 5 games, the team would have definitely saw themselves in the playoffs.
Where did it go wrong? Just looking at their 5 game losing streak to end the season, you know it was a result of some poor luck. For example, in 2 of the 5 losses to end the season, they were playing against lower ranked teams the the San Jose Sabercats and the New Orleans Secondline. Both these teams have negative point differentials of -55 and -117 respectively compared to the Hahalua's +43. Despite this, Honolulu lost by 2 points and 7 points to those teams. Furthermore, in both of those games Honolulu gave up 23 and 28 points in the 2nd quarter which is 2 times as many points typically given up by the Hahalua in a quarter. Had the Hahalua won either or even both of the games, the standings would look quite different as they could have seen themselves back in the playoffs.
Looking at the game against the Sabercats in specific, Honolulu had the possession for two-thirds of the time against them. This is in addition to the 3 fumbles by San Jose and 1 loss that San Jose had, but despite all these metrics that indicate the the Hahalua should have won the game, the score did not end up that way. Additional metrics that the Hahalua team has "gotten simmed" include the fact that the Hahalua had basically twice the number of first downs and third downs, but the sim just did not want to give the team the win.
Taking a closer look at the game against the New Orleans Second Line who finished with a -117 point differential, the Hahalua were unlucky to have 2 fumbles and 1 interception compared to the Second Line's 1 fumble. In addition to that, the two teams had just as many first downs and third downs, but the Hahalua were unlucky in a sense that they converted half the amount of third downs as the New Orleans Second Line. This in addition to the unusual 28 points allowed in the 2nd quarter shows how poor Honolulu's sim luck has been. Comparing this game to their earlier game against New Orleans this season, it is clear how poor of an end of the season Honolulu had. In their first regular season game against New Orleans this season, the team won 41-7 which is a much larger margin in comparison. The team had no fumbles, no interceptions, and were able to convert basically twice as many times as they did in the unlucky second game.
I think it is pretty clear that the Hahalua were very unlucky with the sim to end the season as any amount of sim luck would have seen them in the playoffs right now. This is not to take away from the teams currently in the playoffs, but had the New York Silverbacks had as bad of sim luck as Honolulu. The team could have very well lost their 39-36 game against the Sabercats who had more time with possession. Regardless, the "sim gonna sim" and the team now has to hope the luck turns around for next season.
636 Words
![[Image: t70NN3N.jpg]](https://imgur.com/t70NN3N.jpg)
