(11-09-2017, 01:36 PM)bovovovo Wrote:I had been doing this for Wraiths games but it's really cool to see it done for all of them.
Curious question, what's your line between a "coin flip" and a clear favorite in a game?
I ask because you have the Hawks losing a game they had a 64% chance of winning as "getting fucked" when in my opinion a 64% chance of winning is not close sure thing... I'd personally put it at 70-75% I think
I know when we test to prepare, I don't feel comfortable unless we're in the 80s lol
This is less about win percentages and more about point spreads. A coin flip is about a 1-3 point spread game. The Hawks got fucked because their point differential was -8 when the larger sample showed they should have been a 6.5 point favorite.
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