*Where is the bar for incoming S28 DSFL draftees?

[Gragg9]

Hey nerds! I thought it would be interesting to take a look at the spreadsheets to set expectations for myself and the rest of the S28 class. There are a number of ways to do so and this method is by no means definitive. Rather, it is a brief summing up of the stats from a true rookie. Another disclaimer to keep in mind is that the amount of TPE available could change slightly from season to season. Finally, as you likely know, we are moving to an entirely new simulator. I’m looking forward to checking out some stats to see how that affects the performance of various builds, but for now we just don’t know. Whatever the meta was before it is likely to shift in the next few seasons. Now that I’ve listed off a few reasons why you shouldn’t take this too seriously, let’s move on to the good stuff.

Introducing the average S27 player! Through rigorous statistical analysis I have discovered they are named Larry, suck at player builds, and have no knowledge of archetypes.




Ok, just kidding. This is simply an average of all stats from all S27 DSFL draftees, excluding those that never updated their initial characters. Of course this doesn’t mean much as each position values different stats. Breaking down the averages into specific positions creates very small sample sizes, but what the heck, let’s do it anyway.

First the QBs. We already know that the S28 draft class is loaded with QBs, many of them recreates. In fact, most of them have already surpassed all but on QB from the S27 draft class. I think it’s safe to say this is one position where S28 is very strong is almost certain to surpass last year’s averages by a large margin.




On the other hand we have RB. This was one of the strongest positions for the S27 class, clocking in at an average of 183 TPE by the beginning of their second season. To beat their average speed would require nearly 90 in the stat. This isn’t some fluke either as there were 8 of them not counting two who never updated. For S28 rookies in this position, expect the initial bar to be high due to last year. However, I have a suspicion there will be significantly less competition here this year.



Moving on to another strong position in the S27 draft class, WR. Not a ton to say here but I did notice an interesting difference in builds. Particularly in the strength stat. Looking at the S28 WRs I would venture a guess that the average TPE gained stays pretty similar. (Though I would be happy if my fellow S28 noobs proved me wrong)



Next up we have the most important players on the field. Our beloved pancake makers, the OL. This is where those small sample sizes really make things difficult. Both OLs in the S27 draft surpassed the 200 mark. S28 has a ton of OL prospects, but it would take a small miracle for all of them to pass that milestone. Combined with the fact that I believe all OL prospects this year are true rookies, things aren’t looking good for me and my peers in regard to average TPE.



Lastly on offense we have TEs. This seems to be the most average of all positions and thus there’s not a ton so say here. It is  interesting that the 2 TEs that broke the 200 mark heavily prioritized speed compared to the others



Holy hell, why did everyone do kickers last season? At the time of writing there is only one kicker in the S28 DSFL draft. Naturally I expect them to be taken first overall. 92 is the target to beat the bar set based on last year’s kicking rookies.



Moving on to defense we have another position that everyone seemed to want to play last year, CB. oddly enough it also had a higher rate of people who never updated their initial builds (and were thus left out of these averages). This group is carried by 3 CBs who crossed 200 by a large margin. For S28 folks that makes things a little complicated. If you’re drafted early as CB, your team will certainly hope you cross 200 to join that club. Otherwise, given what appears to be a run meta in DSFL, it's probably a fairly chill spot.



I know I just said CBs had a lot of inactives, but safeties in S27 put that to shame. 3 of the 5 drafted are still sitting at 50 TPE. Therefore, the hope for y’all S28 safeties is that you’ll simply create an update page.



Meanwhile we have DEs who all created update pages. I guess that’s not as common as it seems. Unfortunately there are only 3 of these fellas compared to the 5 who have already declared for S28. Don't think I don't notice that DE with kicking stats by the way. Thanks to them, S28 DEs will be forced to put 5 points in kicking power and accuracy to beat the average. Y'all know whatcha gotta do. 



Second to last are the LBs, who should be quite proud of themselves. Every single one of them crossed the 100 mark, which I’m fairly certain makes them the only position to do so. We again have a wide range of builds with one over-200 player have 83 in strength, while another over-200 has only 55.




Finally we have DTs who seem to be the most consistent of all positions. All players updated and all but 1 crossed the 100 mark, with half of them crossing 200. Average TPE however is slightly below the total of all players in the S27 draft.



So ya, that’s my quick look at last year’s draft class to inform my own expectations for myself and my peers. Hopefully you thought it was mildly interesting as well. I want to reiterate that none of these ‘expectations’ should be taken too seriously. We’re all here to have fun and your value is more than your TPE. Especially when said ‘expectations’ are simply based on averages of last year's class. As I spend some more time around here I’ll dig in a bit more to come up with some more informed and interesting stats but for now, thanks for following me on my quick foray into the spreadsheets! Let me know what stats y'all wanna see in the future!

[Raven]

With stats like that Larry could be an amazing kicker

[Pib]

 Thanks to them, S28 DEs will be forced to put 5 points in kicking power and accuracy to beat the average. Y'all know whatcha gotta do.

Noted.