07-07-2021, 06:46 PM
(This post was last modified: 07-09-2021, 03:07 PM by allbetsonjames.)
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Hey everyone! AW here for what will hopefully be an interesting article for y'all to enjoy! I have done something similar here in the past and in other leagues as well and that is diving deeper into a quarterback's overall stats to try and provide an even more complete analysis of their stats than we can even get in the index which I think is always interesting.
Today, I wanted to look into the QBs of Season 29 which included the rookie season of my quarterback, Joliet Christ Jr. who suited up for the Honolulu Hahalua and had a decent rookie season based on just general stats but we can look at more of what went right and what went wrong for this past season and just what in general can be improved upon as we head into the historic season 30 of the ISFL's long history.
What do I hope to accomplish here?
The real thing I hope to accomplish is just pretty much just the general addition of a couple statistics and for some in general it will just be putting up the main stats to the forefront so it is easier to see rather than to go into each player's stat page and navigate that to compare different QB's more advanced stats. The main stats that I will really be including are the yards per attempt, yards per completion (which I believe both can be found in game but not the index) as well as things like Sack percentage and an estimated ANY/A.
A little extra clarity on the ANY/A and it being estimated. It takes a really long time to get one of the main stats that can affect the ANY/A and that is the sack yardage lost. In general, if there are not many sacks, it is much easier but it requires hopping into each play by play and adding up all the total yards of the sacks that have been allowed. If you look at my QB alone, he took a league leading 71 sacks this season so going through 16 games and taking every sack and finding the yards lost would take a long time especially when we go through every single QB and each took at least 40 sacks I believe. Now, what I did was I went into a few different play by plays and found that there were a bunch of different totals for sack yardage lost such as losses of 5, 6, 7, 11, etc. What I had initially noticed was that the sim really loved 7 yard sacks over everything so about 75% seemed to be losses of 7 yards and all of them averaged out would end up being pretty close to 7 so, we are going to put in a set average of 7 yards lost per sack. So, for Christ Jr.'s 71 sacks against, we would just multiply that by our set 7 and end up with 497 total yards lost from sacks which is then used in our formula for ANY/A.
The ANY/A for those who don't know is a more advanced passing stat and generally one that a lot of people like in terms of measuring success of a passing game and it is a super version of yards per attempt. It takes in consideration different values for yards, touchdowns, and interceptions and includes sack information as well such as drop back totals (sacks + pass attempts) and the aforementioned sack yardage lost.
ANY/A = (pass yards + 20*(pass TD) - 45*(interceptions thrown) - sack yards)/(passing attempts + sacks)
We see that we have a premium on touchdowns as well as a large negative premium on interceptions thrown and then it takes pretty much total yards (passing and sack yardage) and divides it all by drop backs. It is designed to hopefully define the true value of a passing game and values touchdowns and gives big penalties for throwing interceptions and some slight penalties for getting sacked which sometimes is not on the QB. There have been a lot of studies showing ANY/A is a really good stat to measure correlating with wins and defining the great QBs versus the other QBs in the league.
So, in a long answer, that. In a short answer, I just want to show some extra stats for QBs.
The Numbers:
So, we took all regular season stats, put them in a spreadsheet and made magic happen to calculate all our stats for QBs. We can break down the numbers in general to see just who were the elite QBs, how did their numbers correlate with wins and throw extra numbers to see just who was the cream of the crop.
Wins:
ASFC
AZ - 11
NY - 10
NO - 9
OCO - 8
SJS - 6
AUS - 5
HON - 3
NSFC
BER - 13
COL - 12
SAR - 11
YKW - 10
PHI - 5
CHI - 5
BAL - 3
Completion %:
(Rank. Player Name - Team - Comp % - Win Total)
1. Colby Jack - YKW - 66.82% - 10
2. Ryan Negs - PHI - 66.67% - 5
3. Nick Kaepercolin - BER - 66.45% - 13
4. Sam Howitzer - NY - 66.16% - 10
5. Suleiman Ramza - OCO - 66.16% - 8
6. Mike Boss Jr. - SAR - 65.97% - 11
7. Charlemagne Cortez - AZ - 64.69% - 11
8. Mattathias Caliban - COL - 63.81% - 12
9. Joliet Christ Jr. - HON - 61.98% - 3
10. Ben Slothlisberger - NO - 61.68% - 9
11. Monty Jack - SJS - 61.60% - 6
12. Jackie Daytona - AUS - 61.58% - 5
13. George O'Donnell - CHI - 60.55% - 5
14. Luke Skywalker - BAL - 58.85% - 3
We have a lot of QBs that are within a few percentage points in terms of completion percentage so it is hard to judge based off completion percentage alone. Completion percentage, while not perfect does show that the good teams have QBs that complete a large majority of their passes and with exception of Ryan Negs of the Liberty, the others in the top 8 in completion percentage have .500 or better records. The top 7 average 9.71 wins and the bottom 7 average 6.14 wins so being in the top half for completion percentage gained a team 3 more wins compared to those who did not. Shout out to Joliet Christ Jr. for finishing 9th out of 14 as a rookie!
Touchdown Rate:
(Rank. Player Name - Team - TD % - Win Total)
1. Colby Jack - YKW - 6.67% - 10
2. Mike Boss Jr. - SAR - 6.45% - 11
3. Nick Kaepercolin - BER - 6.26% - 13
4. Suleiman Ramza - OCO - 5.61% - 8
5. Sam Howitzer - NY - 5.22% - 10
6. Ben Slothlisberger - NO - 4.77% - 9
7. Charlemagne Cortez - AZ - 4.62% - 11
8. Jackie Daytona - AUS - 4.46% - 5
9. Monty Jack - SJS - 4.34% - 6
11. Mattathias Caliban - COL - 3.31% - 12
12. George O'Donnell - CHI - 3.06% - 5
13. Joliet Christ Jr. - HON - 3.02% - 3
14. Luke Skywalker - BAL - 2.61% - 3
Touchdown rate the most telling stat in the world? We shall see! Our top half of TD rate QBs all had .500 or better seasons and with the exception of Caliban on Colorado, our good QBs and good teams all had TD Rates of 4.6 or better. We also see our league worst teams at 12, 13, and 14 as well. The top half of QBs averaged 10.28 wins and the bottom half averaged 5.57 wins so a larger range here than our completion percentage. Christ Jr. at least did not finished last, thank you Luke Skywalker for both bringing balance to the force and being a bad quarterback.
Interception Rate:
(Rank. Player Name - Team - INT % - Win Total)
1. Suleiman Ramza - OCO - 1.70% - 8
2. Nick Kaepercolin - BER - 1.77% - 13
3. Mattathias Caliban - COL - 1.93% - 12
4. Colby Jack - YKW - 1.97% - 10
5. George O'Donnell - CHI - 1.99% - 5
6. Jackie Daytona - AUS - 2.06% - 5
7. Ben Slothlisberger - NO - 2.14% - 9
8. Joliet Christ Jr. - HON - 2.18% - 3
9. Luke Skywalker - BAL - 2.23% - 3
10. Charlemagne Cortez - AZ - 2.31% - 11
11. Mike Boss Jr. - SAR - 2.42% - 11
12. Ryan Negs - PHI - 2.48% - 5
13. Sam Howitzer - NY - 2.53% - 10
14. Monty Jack - SJS - 2.85% - 6
Our interception rates are not really telling here as it is all over the place but in general with only a 1.15% difference between first and last place it is kind of exactly what was expected. A few of the top winning QBs are found in the top half but guys like Cortez, Boss Jr. and Howitzer are all in the bottom half but QBs that won a lot. Our top half averaged 8.86 wins and bottom half averaged 7 wins so very much less telling than our previous stats.
Touchdown to Interception Ratio:
(Rank. Player Name - Team - TD/INT Ratio - Win Total)
1. Nick Kaepercolin - BER - 3.55 - 13
2. Colby Jack - YKW - 3.38 - 10
3. Suleiman Ramza - OCO - 3.30 - 8
4. Mike Boss Jr. - SAR - 2.67 - 11
5. Ben Slothlisberger - NO - 2.23 - 9
6. Jackie Daytona - AUS - 2.17 - 5
7. Sam Howitzer - NY - 2.07 - 10
8. Charlemagne Cortez - AZ - 2.00 - 11
9. Mattathias Caliban - COL - 1.71 - 12
10. George O'Donnell - CHI - 1.54 - 5
11. Ryan Negs - PHI - 1.54 - 5
12. Monty Jack - SJS - 1.52 - 6
13. Joliet Christ Jr. - HON - 1.38 - 3
14. Luke Skywalker - BAL - 1.17 - 3
I mean, it is simple, you want to throw more touchdowns than you do interceptions but does doing so equal more wins? Inconclusive. It certainly seems to show who is bad but there is a larger middle ground. We have 5 of our bottom teams in the bottom 5 of the rankings but also we have Cortez and Caliban at the top half of the bottom half. Our top half in TD/INT ratio equals 9.43 wins and the bottom half averages 6.43 wins so it does do a bit better than some.
Yards Per Attempt:
(Rank. Player Name - Team - YDS/ATT - Win Total)
1. Colby Jack - YKW - 8.72 - 10
2. Charlemagne Cortez - AZ - 8.16 - 11
3. Mattathias Caliban - COL - 7.95 - 12
4. Suleiman Ramza - OCO - 7.88 - 8
5. Mike Boss Jr. - SAR - 7.88 - 11
6. Nick Kaepercolin - BER - 7.65 - 13
7. Ryan Negs - PHI - 7.52 - 5
8. Jackie Daytona - AUS - 7.43 - 5
9. Monty Jack - SJS - 7.20 - 6
10. Sam Howitzer - NY - 7.18 - 10
11. Ben Slothlisberger - NO - 7.17 - 9
12. Joliet Christ Jr. - HON - 7.00 - 3
13. George O'Donnell - CHI - 6.62 - 5
14. Luke Skywalker - BAL - 6.47 - 3
Yards per attempt is one of my favorite stats and a favorite of a lot of advanced stat people as it correlates well with team wins. It is an interesting stat as it pretty much combines completion percentage and how well a QB does pushing the ball down the field in general. The top half here shows an average of 10 wins and the bottom half shows 5.86 wins so it does well to correlate here. It may be a result of having weapons that can stretch the field versus just the QB.
Estimated ANY/A:
(Rank. Player Name - Team - ANY/A - Win Total)
1. Colby Jack - YKW - 7.74 - 10
2. Suleiman Ramza - OCO - 7.00 - 8
3. Mike Boss Jr. - SAR - 7.00 - 11
4. Nick Kaepercolin - BER - 6.96 - 13
5. Charlemagne Cortez - AZ - 6.83 - 11
6. Mattathias Caliban - COL - 6.67 - 12
7. Sam Howitzer - NY - 6.26 - 10
8. Jackie Daytona - AUS - 6.18 - 5
9. Ben Slothlisberger - NO - 5.99 - 9
10. Ryan Negs - PHI - 5.83 - 5
11. Monty Jack - SJS - 5.67 - 6
12. George O'Donnell - CHI - 5.37 - 5
13. Joliet Christ Jr. - HON - 5.18 - 3
14. Luke Skywalker - BAL - 4.92 - 3
Our hallowed stat and one I got to sooner than I planner because it was taking me too long! This is the stat that should correlate best based on wins and we can see just by eyeballing that it does pretty well as only one QB that had a record at or above .500 is in the bottom half and it seems like Ramza actually lifted a much worse team to above their capabilities this season perhaps. Our top half averaged 10.71 wins and the bottom half averaged 5.14. It is our greatest difference and changing the sack yardage lost does not change up the list much at all so our 7 yards per should be a solid barometer and way to do it much quicker. I really like the ANY/A stat and so should you because a good ANY/A usually means the team and the QB are a step above the rest.
Code:
2055 words and stat research![[Image: image.png?width=1111&height=625]](https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/683033414848348254/1104181360693874828/image.png?width=1111&height=625)
Former players:
QB Joliet Christ Jr. (HON/BER) (1x Ultimus Champ)
WR Deondre Thomas-Fox (SJS) (2x Ultimus Champ)
QB Joliet L. Christ (SJS) (Hall of Fame) (1x Ultimus Champ)
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