*How well is raw TPE per team translating in to win

[7hawk77]

[div align=\\\"center\\\"]How well is raw TPE per team translating in to wins.[/div]

Hello,

Today I'll be doing a quick look in to if team total TPE is translating in to wins.

First up lets get some data, and maybe visualize it in a nice way.




This data was taken from the player pages. (except I had to look up kckolbe's on his update page since his said he had 50k or something outrageous).

Based on this data, we could assume the following order of teams from winning to losing

New Orleans Second Line
Colorado Yetis
Baltimore Hawks
Yellowknife Wraiths
Orange County Otters
Arizona Outlaws
San Jose Sabercats
Philadelphia Liberty




Now lets compare this to the current win loss results:

Wins-Losses

4-0
Baltimore Hawks

3-1
Orange County Otters
New Orleans Second Line

2-2
Colorado Yeti
Arizona Outlaws

1-3
Yellowknife Wraiths
San Jose Sabercats

0-4
Philadelphia Liberty



It appears that the Hawks and Otters currently have had some positive variance, with the second line and yeti having a bit of negative variance.


From just a cursory glance, it looks like the team TPE totals are a fairly good prediction on what will happen to a given team, however with many things football related, there is also a lot of variance.

My current predictions is that some teams will outperform their TPE total rankings, specifically the Otters. (Definitely not biased). I also am questionable that the Yeti might be miss managed this season if they end up staying in that 50% win rate area given their total TPE.

The season is still early so it will be interesting to see what happens in the long run. That's all for now.

[kckolbe]

I also am questionable that the Yeti might be miss managed this season if they end up staying in that 50% win rate area given their total TPE.

It's been alleged that the Yeti are keeping the same DCs all season. Definitely hope to see how this plays out.

[bovovovo]

Very nice

Will be really cool to see how it pans out after the season is over

[manicmav36]

Great work! Love seeing stuff like this.

What would be really interesting to see is how much TPE per player each team has. Some teams may acutally be better (or worse) than what's displayed here due to the number of players in their team.

[7hawk77]

Great work! Love seeing stuff like this.

What would be really interesting to see is how much TPE per player each team has. Some teams may acutally be better (or worse) than what's displayed here due to the number of players in their team.

Yeah normalizing those team TPE numbers would be cool, but without knowing every teams depth chart and usage, I couldn't do that accurately.

[manicmav36]

Yeah normalizing those team TPE numbers would be cool, but without knowing every teams depth chart and usage, I couldn't do that accurately.

Definitely. Plus, it'd be a pain in the butt.