Colorado Yeti
Projected Roster
QB: McCormick (S6)
WR: Miller (S7), Aaron (S6), North (S2), Wheat (S3)
TE: Chipmunk (S8)
RB: Grau (S7), Cansino (S10), Kroetch (S2)
DL: Pierno (S3), Sandoval (S3), (BOT), (BOT)
LB: Ishigawa (S4), (BOT)
DB: Ludvig (S9), Thibault (S9), Danger (S7), Tillman (S5) (BOT)
K: Leg (S5)
It seems Colorado is still actively shopping players away, so there may be more changes here. McCormick, due to switching late in his career, is not the most efficiently built QB, but he's actually far beyond serviceable. I'd put him on par with Pennington in ability for next year, only with far better weapons (again, for now). Grau will continue to perform well as the feature back, and the Yeti will be fine if they can keep Miller and Aaron from getting tired too early on. On defense, regression didn't hit that hard, really, but their recent trade did, leaving them without enough bodies on defense. Without Bly to shut down part of the field and Kamaka to rush decision-making, this is now the worst pass defense in the league, possibly the worst defense. For now, I have them equal with San Jose, since I think both teams are comparable on defense, but McCormick will be good enough to carry any shell of a receiver to relevance. However, San Jose will improve considerably throughout the year, which hasn't even started yet, while Yeti are more likely to sell off more pieces, even though they already lack about a third of a defense. This may be the worst defense in history.
Future Trajectory - Back to the bottom. The loss of Aaron, Kroetch, and Sandoval will gut a significant amount of their remaining talent. McCormick will be at the top of his game, but won't have anyone outside of Miller to throw to, and they won't have a pass rush to disguise their pathetic secondary.
San Jose SaberCats
Projected Roster
QB: Christ (S10)
WR: Oles (S10), Flash (S9), Justice (S11), Weston (S1)
TE: Brannigan (S9), Pitcher (S11)
RB: Canton (S11), Riddick (S8)
DL: Marrett (S10), Barnhardt (S5), Chambers (S3), Methane (S11)
LB: Deringer (S9), Horne (S8), Kane (S7)
DB: Poopsie (S10), Troyski (S10), Brill (S1), Piazza (S10), Rove (S3)
K: Corbett (S9)
May not be great, but at least it's technically complete. This is still a young team, but with a couple of established players on both sides of the ball. On offense, Christ should prove a barely noticeable upgrade to Akselsen due to more experienced receivers, and Canton a slight upgrade to Lagerfield. If they need to run or pass all game, they have the depth to do it, which would be great if they took advantage of it. On defense, they will lose every battle in the trench, but Horne and Deringer will get there quickly to plug the leak. Poopsie and Troyski will eventually be a scary duo on the outsides, but this year, they will get burned a lot, with little help over the top. That defense (especially the DL) is going to need a lot of attention if SJS ever wants to be a contender.
Future Trajectory - Progressing to the mean, but at a slow rate. Their biggest issue is just a really competitive conference, with all 3 teams having a head start on QB.
Philadelphia Liberty
Projected Roster
QB: Falconi (S10)
WR: Bush (S6), Hasselhoff (S10), VonMatt (S10)
TE: O'Sullivan (S4)
RB: Brown (S9), Hondo (S10)
DL: Kamaka (S3), Weathers (S8), Saul (S11), Davidson (S2)
LB: Tucker (S2), Robertson (S10), Becker (S11), Marchand (S9)
DB: Felix (S10), Garnett (S11), Cobalt (S11), Bly (S5)
K: Fulture (S11)
I've written this part 3 times now due to all the changes, just throwing that out there. The defense has taken a huge step forward, with Kamaka returning to join Weathers on a now formidable DL, and Bly adding a real threat in the secondary and keeping Bush from having to play every snap on defense. Those are big improvements. On offense, does it even matter that Falconi is the league's worst QB? After two years of Noble, she will look amazing, but I do still think this is the worst offense for S11, even below Yellowknife. Since I am not going to do a separate trade review (@iamslm22 nailed it), I'll just say that I think the trade to bring in Kamaka and Bly for a second rounder was a poor and shortsighted move. That second rounder will be a major talent next year, and Kamaka will be gone and Bly beginning regression. Neither player will play a significant role in a chance at an Ultimus.
Future Trajectory - With improvement in every offensive player and only a slight drop in defense, I think Philly will definitely be in the playoffs for S12, but I don't think they'll actually be a serious contender until S14, though I think too many things can prevent that.
Yellowknife Wraiths
Projected Roster
QB: Pennington (S8)
WR: Cook (S1)
TE: McPoyal (S6), Harris (S3)
RB: Summer (S11), Gore (S6), Rainey (S6)
DL: Foster (S11), Brown (S8), Steve (S8), Skinner (S7), Maddox (S1)
LB: Ridley (S3), Pennington (S8)
DB: Taylor (S5), Lavelle (S2), Pennington (S8), Zhang (S3), Dugnutt (S11), Parker (S11)
K: Forfeit (S6)
Pennington has got to be feeling very nervous right now. McPoyal proved himself as a great weapon in S10, and should be high on everyone's fantasy radar, but that's not a whole lot to work with. Expect Lavelle and Taylor to be significant parts of the passing game, and to do just fine playing both sides. In addition, with all of their depth at RB, some help can be found there, and with a strong OL, they may just run the ball all game, especially with Pennington now good enough to work behind a run-blocking line. The team may be completely lacking wide receivers, but they aren't completely weak. There are rumors that LB Chad Pennington is considering switching to WR, which would obviously help the offense, but I think it would hurt their defense more, given that he is the only thing keeping the Wraiths from giving up 200 rushing yards per game (@YoungTB try not to release). Yellowknife is playing a pretty bold game, betting that somewhere there's a wide receiver not getting enough time on the field, and looking up north. It's not an unreasonable bet, but I'm glad I'm not the one making it. The bigger concern is actually their soft defensive line. Teams built to run will find no problems here against the Yellowknife front seven.
Future Trajectory - Mild decline. It will be too easy for Yellowknife to find a receiver and another front seven player in the draft, and with Pennington at QB he'll make anyone look serviceable. I think they'll fall out from the bottom of the middle and into the top of the bottom.
Arizona Outlaws
Projected Roster
QB: Fitzpatrick (S9)
WR: Squanch (S8), Browning (S3), Wachter (S5), Booter (S5)
TE: Crindy (S8)
RB: Mackworthy (S1)
DL: Reese (S11), Sackerman (S11), David (S8), Waiters (S4), Medved (S5)
LB: Earl (S9), Dwyer (S6), Selich (S11)
DB: Barnes (S9), Morris (S5), Hobbs (S10), Davis (S1)
K: Jackson (S6)
Now this is almost a team. If we could just fix the bright red target that Allen Davis will effectively serve as for opposing QBs, then this team might actually accomplish something. Even with that weakness, however, this Arizona defense is very fantasy relevant. Expect a lot of sacks and runs for no gain, forcing deep passes into a mainly competent secondary. On offense, this year Fitzpatrick won't have an iron wall of linemen protecting him from trouble and forcing open lanes for Mackworthy, so expect him to make a lot more mistakes this year. However, the trio of Squanch, Browning, and Crindy are capable of handling the burden of a pass-first offense when needed. Top it off with the best kicker in the league, and this is actually a pretty tough team to beat, enough to move them ahead of Yellowknife.
Future Trajectory - Playoffs. This is a team with 3 active players stashed in the DSFL next year. Between that and another good draft, there shouldn't be any holes on the team, and they might very well be the best defense in the league.
Orange County Otters
Projected Roster
QB: Showbiz (S10)
WR: Crush (S5), Atwell (S5), Sunnycursed (S11), Garden (S1)
TE:
RB: Adams (S9), Zephyrous (S10)
DL: Bagwell (S6), Sierra (S5), Clegane (S2), Winchester (S1)
LB: Brown (S7), Enchant (S6), Ramero (S8)
DB: Grithead (S10), Broxton (S6), Kane (S2), Spector (S11), King (S3)
K: Puncher (S11)
I should point out that I feel there is not a lot of difference between Orange County at 3rd and Philadelphia at 6th. However, now that Showbiz is hitting his big third year, and looking at the combination of Crush and Atwell, with great depth in Sunnycursed and Garden, this is a team that can pass all day. Their defense has taken a step back from last year, but with Winchester and Brown in the front seven and Broxton in coverage there is still enough to make big plays (or, just as importantly, stop big plays). Their only weakness is a weak running game, which will hurt them against some otherwise beatable teams. Expect the Otters to make yet another postseason appearance.
Future Trajectory - Climbing through maintaining. With a significant portion of their team regressing after the season, and less than ideal draft value in future seasons due to a combination of trading and sustained success, Orange County will have to be happy remaining at their current level of strength. With New Orleans expected to lose even more, Orange County might make the Ultimus in S12 due to lack of high end competition. However, after that they may fade to semi-relevance for a while.
New Orleans Second Line
Projected Roster
QB: Maximus (S6)
WR: Fyodorovich (S7), Law (S3), LeClair (S1), Halvorsen (S11)
TE: DiMirio (S2), Yobanna-Whatever (S10)
RB: Smallwood (S2)
DL: Rax (S10), Askins (S3), King (S3), (BOT)
LB: Keita (S11), O'Sullivan (S3), Mills (S6)
DB: Harrison (S8), Oakes (S4), Bayley (S3), ((Fyodorovich))
K: Meoff (S8)
Based on the projected roster (especially on defense), this may seem a too-generous prediction. Well, it might be. In truth, I am trusting a source within NOLA that they do, in fact, have another DL player lined up somewhere to come in. Fyodorovich pulling double duty doesn't bother me, as the offense appears deep enough to make it feasible. Their offense features the best QB in the league in a pretty solid offensive system. I don't think the running game will be as effective, but it doesn't have to be (and I still have Smallwood #2 RB due to TDs). On defense, this isn't the #1-looking defense fielded last year, but it is still solid. They still have the best secondary in the league, which is significant given the lack of top-end RB talent and the prominence of solid QBs. Their defensive line still looks kind of weak, but again, how many teams are really set up to exploit that?
Future Trajectory - After this season, the team loses Law, LeClair and Smallwood, and will see regression from DiMirio, Askins, King, O'Sullivan, Oakes, and Bayley. In the NSFC, they would still be a perennial playoff team, but with Arizona on the rise and Orange County maintaining strength, this seems like the final hurrah as they roll into rebuild, but 3 straight Ultimus appearances and a ring is nothing to laugh at.
Baltimore Hawks
Projected Roster
QB: Applehort (S7)
WR: Willie (S3), Valentine (S9), Nagasawa (S11)
TE: L'Alto (S7), Harp (S9)
RB: Taylor (S2)
DL: Hendrix (S1), Gambino (S8), Asipi (S6), Wojcik (S6), Joshua (S6), Mbanefo (S11)
LB: Roenick (S6), Goodson (S4)
DB: Blocksdale (S2), Fletcher (S5), Arnold (S10), Oats (S10)
K: Turkleton (S1)
With a free agency acquisition to upgrade what was starting to become a weakness at QB, Baltimore's offense is actually stronger than last year's. Taylor should see a negligible drop in efficiency, but that will be made up for with impressive depth at receivers. On defense, just look at the options. With multiple teams struggling to field the correct number of bodies, this team has enough talent to run any defensive scheme. Their secondary is still beatable even after the addition of Blocksdale, but with the pass rush they have supporting them, I don't think they will be embarrassed at all.
Future Trajectory - The loss of Hendrix and Asipi will hurt a little, but there is no question that Baltimore will be #1 in the NSFC for multiple seasons, with all of their aging players already replaced with stashed talent.
Projected Roster
QB: McCormick (S6)
WR: Miller (S7), Aaron (S6), North (S2), Wheat (S3)
TE: Chipmunk (S8)
RB: Grau (S7), Cansino (S10), Kroetch (S2)
DL: Pierno (S3), Sandoval (S3), (BOT), (BOT)
LB: Ishigawa (S4), (BOT)
DB: Ludvig (S9), Thibault (S9), Danger (S7), Tillman (S5) (BOT)
K: Leg (S5)
It seems Colorado is still actively shopping players away, so there may be more changes here. McCormick, due to switching late in his career, is not the most efficiently built QB, but he's actually far beyond serviceable. I'd put him on par with Pennington in ability for next year, only with far better weapons (again, for now). Grau will continue to perform well as the feature back, and the Yeti will be fine if they can keep Miller and Aaron from getting tired too early on. On defense, regression didn't hit that hard, really, but their recent trade did, leaving them without enough bodies on defense. Without Bly to shut down part of the field and Kamaka to rush decision-making, this is now the worst pass defense in the league, possibly the worst defense. For now, I have them equal with San Jose, since I think both teams are comparable on defense, but McCormick will be good enough to carry any shell of a receiver to relevance. However, San Jose will improve considerably throughout the year, which hasn't even started yet, while Yeti are more likely to sell off more pieces, even though they already lack about a third of a defense. This may be the worst defense in history.
Future Trajectory - Back to the bottom. The loss of Aaron, Kroetch, and Sandoval will gut a significant amount of their remaining talent. McCormick will be at the top of his game, but won't have anyone outside of Miller to throw to, and they won't have a pass rush to disguise their pathetic secondary.
San Jose SaberCats
Projected Roster
QB: Christ (S10)
WR: Oles (S10), Flash (S9), Justice (S11), Weston (S1)
TE: Brannigan (S9), Pitcher (S11)
RB: Canton (S11), Riddick (S8)
DL: Marrett (S10), Barnhardt (S5), Chambers (S3), Methane (S11)
LB: Deringer (S9), Horne (S8), Kane (S7)
DB: Poopsie (S10), Troyski (S10), Brill (S1), Piazza (S10), Rove (S3)
K: Corbett (S9)
May not be great, but at least it's technically complete. This is still a young team, but with a couple of established players on both sides of the ball. On offense, Christ should prove a barely noticeable upgrade to Akselsen due to more experienced receivers, and Canton a slight upgrade to Lagerfield. If they need to run or pass all game, they have the depth to do it, which would be great if they took advantage of it. On defense, they will lose every battle in the trench, but Horne and Deringer will get there quickly to plug the leak. Poopsie and Troyski will eventually be a scary duo on the outsides, but this year, they will get burned a lot, with little help over the top. That defense (especially the DL) is going to need a lot of attention if SJS ever wants to be a contender.
Future Trajectory - Progressing to the mean, but at a slow rate. Their biggest issue is just a really competitive conference, with all 3 teams having a head start on QB.
Philadelphia Liberty
Projected Roster
QB: Falconi (S10)
WR: Bush (S6), Hasselhoff (S10), VonMatt (S10)
TE: O'Sullivan (S4)
RB: Brown (S9), Hondo (S10)
DL: Kamaka (S3), Weathers (S8), Saul (S11), Davidson (S2)
LB: Tucker (S2), Robertson (S10), Becker (S11), Marchand (S9)
DB: Felix (S10), Garnett (S11), Cobalt (S11), Bly (S5)
K: Fulture (S11)
I've written this part 3 times now due to all the changes, just throwing that out there. The defense has taken a huge step forward, with Kamaka returning to join Weathers on a now formidable DL, and Bly adding a real threat in the secondary and keeping Bush from having to play every snap on defense. Those are big improvements. On offense, does it even matter that Falconi is the league's worst QB? After two years of Noble, she will look amazing, but I do still think this is the worst offense for S11, even below Yellowknife. Since I am not going to do a separate trade review (@iamslm22 nailed it), I'll just say that I think the trade to bring in Kamaka and Bly for a second rounder was a poor and shortsighted move. That second rounder will be a major talent next year, and Kamaka will be gone and Bly beginning regression. Neither player will play a significant role in a chance at an Ultimus.
Future Trajectory - With improvement in every offensive player and only a slight drop in defense, I think Philly will definitely be in the playoffs for S12, but I don't think they'll actually be a serious contender until S14, though I think too many things can prevent that.
Yellowknife Wraiths
Projected Roster
QB: Pennington (S8)
WR: Cook (S1)
TE: McPoyal (S6), Harris (S3)
RB: Summer (S11), Gore (S6), Rainey (S6)
DL: Foster (S11), Brown (S8), Steve (S8), Skinner (S7), Maddox (S1)
LB: Ridley (S3), Pennington (S8)
DB: Taylor (S5), Lavelle (S2), Pennington (S8), Zhang (S3), Dugnutt (S11), Parker (S11)
K: Forfeit (S6)
Pennington has got to be feeling very nervous right now. McPoyal proved himself as a great weapon in S10, and should be high on everyone's fantasy radar, but that's not a whole lot to work with. Expect Lavelle and Taylor to be significant parts of the passing game, and to do just fine playing both sides. In addition, with all of their depth at RB, some help can be found there, and with a strong OL, they may just run the ball all game, especially with Pennington now good enough to work behind a run-blocking line. The team may be completely lacking wide receivers, but they aren't completely weak. There are rumors that LB Chad Pennington is considering switching to WR, which would obviously help the offense, but I think it would hurt their defense more, given that he is the only thing keeping the Wraiths from giving up 200 rushing yards per game (@YoungTB try not to release). Yellowknife is playing a pretty bold game, betting that somewhere there's a wide receiver not getting enough time on the field, and looking up north. It's not an unreasonable bet, but I'm glad I'm not the one making it. The bigger concern is actually their soft defensive line. Teams built to run will find no problems here against the Yellowknife front seven.
Future Trajectory - Mild decline. It will be too easy for Yellowknife to find a receiver and another front seven player in the draft, and with Pennington at QB he'll make anyone look serviceable. I think they'll fall out from the bottom of the middle and into the top of the bottom.
Arizona Outlaws
Projected Roster
QB: Fitzpatrick (S9)
WR: Squanch (S8), Browning (S3), Wachter (S5), Booter (S5)
TE: Crindy (S8)
RB: Mackworthy (S1)
DL: Reese (S11), Sackerman (S11), David (S8), Waiters (S4), Medved (S5)
LB: Earl (S9), Dwyer (S6), Selich (S11)
DB: Barnes (S9), Morris (S5), Hobbs (S10), Davis (S1)
K: Jackson (S6)
Now this is almost a team. If we could just fix the bright red target that Allen Davis will effectively serve as for opposing QBs, then this team might actually accomplish something. Even with that weakness, however, this Arizona defense is very fantasy relevant. Expect a lot of sacks and runs for no gain, forcing deep passes into a mainly competent secondary. On offense, this year Fitzpatrick won't have an iron wall of linemen protecting him from trouble and forcing open lanes for Mackworthy, so expect him to make a lot more mistakes this year. However, the trio of Squanch, Browning, and Crindy are capable of handling the burden of a pass-first offense when needed. Top it off with the best kicker in the league, and this is actually a pretty tough team to beat, enough to move them ahead of Yellowknife.
Future Trajectory - Playoffs. This is a team with 3 active players stashed in the DSFL next year. Between that and another good draft, there shouldn't be any holes on the team, and they might very well be the best defense in the league.
Orange County Otters
Projected Roster
QB: Showbiz (S10)
WR: Crush (S5), Atwell (S5), Sunnycursed (S11), Garden (S1)
TE:
RB: Adams (S9), Zephyrous (S10)
DL: Bagwell (S6), Sierra (S5), Clegane (S2), Winchester (S1)
LB: Brown (S7), Enchant (S6), Ramero (S8)
DB: Grithead (S10), Broxton (S6), Kane (S2), Spector (S11), King (S3)
K: Puncher (S11)
I should point out that I feel there is not a lot of difference between Orange County at 3rd and Philadelphia at 6th. However, now that Showbiz is hitting his big third year, and looking at the combination of Crush and Atwell, with great depth in Sunnycursed and Garden, this is a team that can pass all day. Their defense has taken a step back from last year, but with Winchester and Brown in the front seven and Broxton in coverage there is still enough to make big plays (or, just as importantly, stop big plays). Their only weakness is a weak running game, which will hurt them against some otherwise beatable teams. Expect the Otters to make yet another postseason appearance.
Future Trajectory - Climbing through maintaining. With a significant portion of their team regressing after the season, and less than ideal draft value in future seasons due to a combination of trading and sustained success, Orange County will have to be happy remaining at their current level of strength. With New Orleans expected to lose even more, Orange County might make the Ultimus in S12 due to lack of high end competition. However, after that they may fade to semi-relevance for a while.
New Orleans Second Line
Projected Roster
QB: Maximus (S6)
WR: Fyodorovich (S7), Law (S3), LeClair (S1), Halvorsen (S11)
TE: DiMirio (S2), Yobanna-Whatever (S10)
RB: Smallwood (S2)
DL: Rax (S10), Askins (S3), King (S3), (BOT)
LB: Keita (S11), O'Sullivan (S3), Mills (S6)
DB: Harrison (S8), Oakes (S4), Bayley (S3), ((Fyodorovich))
K: Meoff (S8)
Based on the projected roster (especially on defense), this may seem a too-generous prediction. Well, it might be. In truth, I am trusting a source within NOLA that they do, in fact, have another DL player lined up somewhere to come in. Fyodorovich pulling double duty doesn't bother me, as the offense appears deep enough to make it feasible. Their offense features the best QB in the league in a pretty solid offensive system. I don't think the running game will be as effective, but it doesn't have to be (and I still have Smallwood #2 RB due to TDs). On defense, this isn't the #1-looking defense fielded last year, but it is still solid. They still have the best secondary in the league, which is significant given the lack of top-end RB talent and the prominence of solid QBs. Their defensive line still looks kind of weak, but again, how many teams are really set up to exploit that?
Future Trajectory - After this season, the team loses Law, LeClair and Smallwood, and will see regression from DiMirio, Askins, King, O'Sullivan, Oakes, and Bayley. In the NSFC, they would still be a perennial playoff team, but with Arizona on the rise and Orange County maintaining strength, this seems like the final hurrah as they roll into rebuild, but 3 straight Ultimus appearances and a ring is nothing to laugh at.
Baltimore Hawks
Projected Roster
QB: Applehort (S7)
WR: Willie (S3), Valentine (S9), Nagasawa (S11)
TE: L'Alto (S7), Harp (S9)
RB: Taylor (S2)
DL: Hendrix (S1), Gambino (S8), Asipi (S6), Wojcik (S6), Joshua (S6), Mbanefo (S11)
LB: Roenick (S6), Goodson (S4)
DB: Blocksdale (S2), Fletcher (S5), Arnold (S10), Oats (S10)
K: Turkleton (S1)
With a free agency acquisition to upgrade what was starting to become a weakness at QB, Baltimore's offense is actually stronger than last year's. Taylor should see a negligible drop in efficiency, but that will be made up for with impressive depth at receivers. On defense, just look at the options. With multiple teams struggling to field the correct number of bodies, this team has enough talent to run any defensive scheme. Their secondary is still beatable even after the addition of Blocksdale, but with the pass rush they have supporting them, I don't think they will be embarrassed at all.
Future Trajectory - The loss of Hendrix and Asipi will hurt a little, but there is no question that Baltimore will be #1 in the NSFC for multiple seasons, with all of their aging players already replaced with stashed talent.
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