*Comprehensive Look at Each NSFL Teams Performance

[dropbear]

As my contribution to the history of the NSFL, I thought I'd take a comprehensive look at how each team has performed against all other teams in the league throughout the first 5 seasons of the competition.

I think this will help to highlight rivalries, whether it's due to a close series or a totally one-sided affair, and give an insight into which teams are the Achilles Heel for others, and which are total pushovers.

Part 1 of this eight-part series will focus on the San Jose SaberCats.

San Jose SaberCats

Arizona Outlaws

• Record: 1 - 11 - 0
• Win %: 8.33
• Home Win %: 16.67
• Away Win %: 0.00
• Longest Winning Streak: 1 game
• Longest Losing Streak: 11 games
• Points For: 156
• Points Against: 344
• Largest Winning Margin: 14
• Largest Losing Margin: 65
• Average Margin: -15.67 (17.96 std dev)

Orange County Otters

• Record: 4 - 8 - 0
• Win %: 33.33
• Home Win %: 66.67
• Away Win %: 0.00
• Longest Winning Streak: 2 games
• Longest Losing Streak: 4 games
• Points For: 165
• Points Against: 333
• Largest Winning Margin: 9
• Largest Losing Margin: 40
• Average Margin: -14.00(15.04 std dev)

New Orleans Second Line (Formerly Las Vegas Legion)

• Record: 5 - 3 - 0
• Win %: 62.50
• Home Win %: 50.00
• Away Win %: 75.00
• Longest Winning Streak: 2 games
• Longest Losing Streak: 1 game
• Points For: 237
• Points Against: 150
• Largest Winning Margin: 35
• Largest Losing Margin: 18
• Average Margin: +10.88 (17.95 std dev)

Yellowknife Wraiths

• Record: 4 - 6 - 0
• Win %: 40.00
• Home Win %: 40.00
• Away Win %: 40.00
• Longest Winning Streak: 3 games
• Longest Losing Streak: 4 games
• Points For: 221
• Points Against: 251
• Largest Winning Margin: 11
• Largest Losing Margin: 16
• Average Margin: -3.00 (9.36 std dev)

Baltimore Hawks

• Record: 5 - 5 - 0
• Win %: 50.00
• Home Win %: 60.00
• Away Win %: 40.00
• Longest Winning Streak: 2 games
• Longest Losing Streak: 3 games
• Points For: 236
• Points Against: 211
• Largest Winning Margin: 28
• Largest Losing Margin: 13
• Average Margin: +2.50 (10.97 std dev)

Philadelphia Liberty

• Record: 4 - 3 - 1
• Win %: 56.25
• Home Win %: 87.50
• Away Win %: 25.00
• Longest Winning Streak: 3 games
• Longest Losing Streak: 1 game
• Points For: 204
• Points Against: 185
• Largest Winning Margin: 44
• Largest Losing Margin: 38
• Average Margin: +2.38 (27.12 std dev)

Colorado Yeti

• Record: 7 - 3 - 0
• Win %: 70.00
• Home Win %: 80.00
• Away Win %: 60.00
• Longest Winning Streak: 4 games
• Longest Losing Streak: 2 games
• Points For: 235
• Points Against: 167
• Largest Winning Margin: 40
• Largest Losing Margin: 28
• Average Margin: +6.80 (18.93 std dev)

SaberCats Snapshot

• Record: 30 - 39 - 1
• Win %: 42.86
• Home Win %: 55.71
• Away Win %: 31.43
• Total Points For: 1454
• Total Points Against: 1641
• Total Point Differential: -187
• Longest Winning Streak: 4 games (Colorado Yeti)
• Longest Losing Streak: 11 games (Arizona Outlaws)
• Most Total Points Scored: 237 (Las Vegas Legion)
• Most Total Points Conceded: 344 (Arizona Outlaws)
• Largest Winning Margin: 44 (Philadelphia Liberty)
• Larest Losing Margin: 65 (Arizona Outlaws)
• Largest Positive Point Differential: 87 (Las Vegas Legion)
• Largest Negative Point Differential: -188 (Arizona Outlaws)
• Most Positively Lopsided Series: 7 - 3 - 0 (Colorado Yeti)
• Pushovers: +10.88 average margin, 17.95 std dev (Las Vegas Legion)
• Closest Series: 5 - 5 - 0 (Baltimore Hawks)
• Nail-biters: -3.00 average margin, 9.36 std dev (Yellowknife Wraiths)
• Most Lopsided Series: 1 - 11 - 0 (Arizona Outlaws)
• Spankings: -15.67 average margin, 17.96 std dev (Arizona Outlaws)
• Fortress: 87.50% home win rate (Philadelphia Liberty)
• Invasion: 8.33% home win rate (Arizona Outlaws)
• Road Warriors: 75.00% road win rate (Las Vegas Legion)
• Home Sick: 0.00% road win rate (Arizona Outlaws & Orange County Otters)

I hope you guys enjoyed this! Just a quick note to say that the SaberCats S6 week one win against the Outlaws officially broke their 11-game losing streak!

[tbone415]

Good write up

[AzhekAhriman]

This is great stats work! looking forward to see what we can glean from this in terms of rivalries!

[timeconsumer]

Very interesting. Do you plan on doing them for every team?

[adam2552]

Very interesting. Do you plan on doing them for every team?

He said it's part 1 of a six-part series. I wonder which two teams he's skipping.......

[dropbear]

Very interesting. Do you plan on doing them for every team?

So long as people are understanding about the time between each of them, yes.

Also, I'd love your insight on whether I've interpreted the std dev correctly in regard to the average margin for Wraiths and Hawks games. What are your thoughts? Which are, on average, closer?

[dropbear]

He said it's part 1 of a six-part series.  I wonder which two teams he's skipping.......

Whoops! Fixed

[timeconsumer]

So long as people are understanding about the time between each of them, yes.

Also, I'd love your insight on whether I've interpreted the std dev correctly in regard to the average margin for Wraiths and Hawks games. What are your thoughts? Which are, on average, closer?

Without being able to look at the point totals individually for each game it's tough to say. The 28 point win vs Baltimore could be skewing things a little. Either way it's up to interpretation and both YKW and BAL have had a very close record vs the Cats.

If I had to choose I'd probably stick with average point differential as my deciding factor with W/L as the tiebreaker so Hawks seems like the closer opponent.

[PDXBaller]

Big money for Ben Longshaw Sports Management!