*Analysis of the Sim Gods

[timeconsumer]

We return once again to the Analysis of the Sim Gods where I use the sim files from each week to resim every matchup 25 times to try and find out if a team got lucky, unlucky, etc. Please refer to my first edition if you feel lost already.

Week 3 Results:

Yeti (17) @ Hawks (48)
Wraiths (35) @ Legion (20)
Liberty (13) @ Otters (21)
Outlaws (17) @ Sabercats (9)

Week 3 Resims:

Yeti (9) @ Hawks (38)
Coming in with a 100% win rate for all 25 sims the Hawks smoke the Yeti with a 29 point spread.
Conclusion: Accurate

Wraiths (23.5) @ Legion (17)
The Legion try to hang on at home with a 40% win rate but lose out to the Wraiths with a 6.5 point spread.
Conclusion: Accurate

Liberty (17.5) @ Otters (27.5)
The Otters bounce back strong at home with a 10 point spread, but only a 68% win rate.
Conclusion: Accurate

Outlaws (22.5) @ Sabercats (26.5)
The Sabercats and Outlaws have a close matchup where the Sabercats come out with a 4 point spread and a 60% win rate.
Conclusion: Unlucky


Week 4 Results:

Liberty (6) @ Outlaws (33)
Yeti (14) @ Legion (30)
Hawks (17) @ Sabercats (13)
Otters (35) @ Wraiths (20)

Week 4 Resims:

Liberty (17.5) @ Outlaws (26)
The Outlaws still maintain that strong home field advantage with an 8.5 point spread and 64% win rate.
Conclusion: Accurate, but not so one-sided

Yeti (18) @ Legion (16.5)
This game comes out as a coinflip where the Yeti finish with a 1.5 point spread and 56% win rate.
Conclusion: Coin Flip.

Hawks (18) @ Sabercats (28)
The Sabercats continue putting up strong games at home and take home with W with as 10 point spread for a 68% win rate.
Conclusion: Got fucked

Otters (22) @ Wraiths (19)
Another coinflip game sees the Otters barely edge out the Wraiths on a 3 point spread for a 52% win rate.
Conclusion: Coin Flip

Week 5 Results:

Outlaws (27) @ Hawks (31)
Legion (3) @ Otters (59)
Yeti (14) @ Liberty (26)
Wraiths (27) @ Sabercats (38)

Week 5 Resims:

Outlaws (23) @ Hawks (20)
A coin flip game where the Hawks have a 60% win rate on a 3 point spread.
Conclusion: Coin Flip

Legion (7) @ Otters (41.5)
Otters smash the Legion for 41.5 points with a 100% win rate.
Conclusion: Accurate

Yeti (7.5) @ Liberty (40.5)
With a 33 point advantage at home the Liberty smoke the Yeti with a 100% win rate.
Conclusion: Accurate

Wraiths (19) @ Sabercats (23)
The Sabercats hang on for a big home win on a 4 point spread with a 68% win rate.
Conclusion: Accurate

Week 6 Results:

Otters (37) @ Yeti (23)
Hawks (19) @ Legion (13)
Sabercats (26) @ Liberty (6)
Arizona (10) @ Wraiths (12)

Week 6 Resims:

Otters (37.5) @ Yeti (11)
With a whopping 26.5 point edge the Otters trounce the Yeti with a 96% win rate.
Conclusion: Accurate

Hawks (26.5) @ Legion (12)
Winning on the road with a 14.5 point spread the Hawks ease past the Legion with an 88% win rate.
Conclusion: Accurate

Sabercats (17.5) @ Liberty (19)
With a 1.5 point spread the Liberty try their best to win at home in this coinflip match with only a 52% win rate.
Conclusion: Coin Flip

Outlaws (25) @ Wraiths (18)
In a dominant performance on the road the Outlaws win with a 7 point spread and a 76% win rate.
Conclusion: Got fucked.

Standings as of Week 6



Fucked Tracker

Otters: Fucked Twice
Hawks: Fucked Once
Outlaws: Fucked Once
Sabercats: Fucked Once


GRADED

[ADwyer87]

interesting, our spread had us as a 64% favorites over SJS

EDIT: Also we had a very high win percentage over Liberty at home, more like flipping the 6 upside down

[timeconsumer]

interesting, our spread had us as a 64% favorites over SJS

EDIT: Also we had a very high win percentage over Liberty at home, more like flipping the 6 upside down

Don't know what to tell you. I guess you anticipated their gameplan incorrectly?

[ADwyer87]

Don't know what to tell you. I guess you anticipated their gameplan incorrectly?

I believe your test sims, I'm just saying what ours were.

We could have anticipated Liberty sims wrong, but not Sabercats

[timeconsumer]

I believe your test sims, I'm just saying what ours were.

We could have anticipated Liberty sims wrong, but not Sabercats

Well I'm going to be honest and tell you there's a 90% chance it's Dermot's fault.

[ADwyer87]

Well I'm going to be honest and tell you there's a 90% chance it's Dermot's fault.

that sounds very reasonable

[ADwyer87]

@`Dermot` wtf bro

[AsylumParty]

@`Dermot` wtf