*NSFL Mid Season Review

[Sweetwater]

This was a really interesting article! I'm gonna go full homer and say the Liberty will finish in first place. Here's the NSFCs point differentials:

Chicago: +19
Yellowknife: +44
Philadelphia: +88
Baltimore: +60
Colorado: -157

Since Philly is the best by a significant margin, I think they'll be able to take the lead as the season goes on.

One factor to consider with these point diffs is how many times each of these teams have played COL and AUS. Those usually result in blowouts that inflate points.

A quick looks shows that:
Butchers have played 2/3 of those matchups, but didnt manage to hold blowouts.
YKW have played 1/3 with it being a blowout, and game 2 happening tonight.
PHI have played 2/3, both being blowouts.
BAL have played 2/3, one being a blowout.
COLs point diff is proof of the trend.

The other major factor between CHI and PHI is the blowout win PHI had over CHI, which essentially doubled the gap between them as ot shrunk CHIs doff by the same amount it grew PHIs.

I'd expect those diffs to move in YKWs favor as they play arguably the easiest remaining schedule in the NSFC, with the toughest matchup being @PHI, and 2 assumed wins with COL and AUS.

PHI has a moderately tough schedule coming up with the Hawks (who you've beat @BAL so shouldnt be too bad at home) @CHI (could be difficult) YKW (#2 seed who've been on a tear) and @SJS (honestly a tossup game) before your assumed win with AUS. All of which are winnable games, but the sim is a fickle bitch.

Chicago has arguably the toughest schedule of the 3, and I expect them to drop at least a couple over the stretch.

I see a 3 way tossup of CHI, YKW, PHI as almost unpredictable at this point.