04-06-2020, 12:46 PM
(This post was last modified: 04-06-2020, 01:13 PM by ItsJustBarry.)
Playoff Predictions:
In our first matchup, we have the Baltimore Hawks hosting the Yellowknife Wraiths. I don’t think this season will end any differently for the Wraiths as their Ultimus dreams get destroyed again. Baltimore holds the advantage in every measurable category that matters. Their offense is more potent, their defense is more stingy, and they hold home field advantage. These teams split wins during the regular season with each team winning at home. I don’t expect this playoff matchup breaks this trend as Baltimore goes on the win this easily. It is hard to predict an score but I will say I expect the Hawks to win this by 2 scores.
On the other side, we have the New Orleans Second Line traveling to Orange County to face off with the Otters. If we were asked to predict the playoffs a real life week ago, many would have had NOLA walking away with the trophy easily. Unfortunately for them, the sim does what the sim does (which Joestradamus Kortesi predicted) and they are now the underdog to the perennial playoff favorite, OCO. NOLA has the weapons to keep this matchup close but I don’t expect them to be able to overcome HFA. OCO edges out NOLA by a slim margin.
That leads to OCO hosting Baltimore in the Ultimus. Baltimore loses and OCO wins this because that’s what these teams do in the Ultimus.
Robbed:
With the new format that allows almost everyone into the playoffs, that leaves only the Philadelphia Liberty and Arizona Outlaws left to write about. With the Chicago Butchers trading away their future to win now, it was expected that Philadelphia would left on the outside looking in. On the other side, we have Arizona starting their off-season vacation early. With just a general big picture look at the season, I feel like Arizona was robbed. Arizona had a few unfortunate losses which were decided by a single score. Had even one of these games gone in their favor, we’d be looking at San Jose missing out while Arizona gets routed by Orange County. It’s hard to assume Arizona even wanted a playoff berth this season. They were hopefully setting themselves up for a top draft pick to acquire many people in this epic draft class. With the Outlaws owning 9 picks in the first 5 rounds, they should be able to get young pieces and be back in contention within a couple of seasons. In hindsight, it’s hard to say that either team missing the playoffs were robbed considering their pick values now but I would still give the unfortunate edge to Arizona.
Rivalry:
Playing a 2nd season in the DSFL I don’t feel like I have a rival. I feel like a man among boys in this league. One might want to compare me to Dorfus Jimbo Jr or Chip Otle but that is humorous. Otle does lead the DSFL with tackles for loss at 25. Noble Jr. is right behind him with 24 and Jimbo Jr. is trailing with 23. When looking at sacks, both Noble Jr and Jimbo Jr are tied with 9 each while Otle has a measly 4. When looking at these stats, it seems like these 3 players are evenly matched. Besides Otle’s sack count be halved by the other 2, this is a close race. What makes this impressive and give the nod to Noble Jr is the fact that he’s playing will approximately 80 TPE less applied than these other 2. This puts him below even top earning S22 defensive players in which many have already eclipsed the 200 TPE threshold. Only time will tell if this small DSFL preview will translate to bigger things on the NSFL stage. With all 3 likely to be called up next season, we’ll be able to answer for sure who is ready for primetime.
Armchair GM:
At this point, picking on Chicago is low hanging fruit but I’m not above it. While I was a short-tenured co-GM for the Butchers, it could be said that I contributed to this downward spiral. When I joined I had a multi season plan in place to turn Chicago around. Unfortunately, real time was going to demand more of my time so Valor made the executive decision to replace me and the rest is history. I laid out my plan to a couple players then and the general idea would still work today. The target is to draft as many young players from the S21 and S22 draft as possible. Players that are eager and hungry to play. These are also players who have spent time together in DSFL so rapport is already there. Instead of building a new LR, you are essentially adopting an existing once. Considering you would be terrible, you should have top pick in each draft. Adding anywhere from five to ten actives from each draft would give you a complete roster all growing together. They would all be getting playing time from day 1 which is what every DSFL prospect wants. By S24 or S25, you would have 12+ players hitting 1000 TPE simultaneously and would be a competing force in the league. Unfortunately, this means you have to endure a season or two of losing while you acquire these players. Instead, Chicago has endured the bad seasons but have to picks or player assets to show for it so the cycle will continue for at least a few more seasons.
In our first matchup, we have the Baltimore Hawks hosting the Yellowknife Wraiths. I don’t think this season will end any differently for the Wraiths as their Ultimus dreams get destroyed again. Baltimore holds the advantage in every measurable category that matters. Their offense is more potent, their defense is more stingy, and they hold home field advantage. These teams split wins during the regular season with each team winning at home. I don’t expect this playoff matchup breaks this trend as Baltimore goes on the win this easily. It is hard to predict an score but I will say I expect the Hawks to win this by 2 scores.
On the other side, we have the New Orleans Second Line traveling to Orange County to face off with the Otters. If we were asked to predict the playoffs a real life week ago, many would have had NOLA walking away with the trophy easily. Unfortunately for them, the sim does what the sim does (which Joestradamus Kortesi predicted) and they are now the underdog to the perennial playoff favorite, OCO. NOLA has the weapons to keep this matchup close but I don’t expect them to be able to overcome HFA. OCO edges out NOLA by a slim margin.
That leads to OCO hosting Baltimore in the Ultimus. Baltimore loses and OCO wins this because that’s what these teams do in the Ultimus.
Robbed:
With the new format that allows almost everyone into the playoffs, that leaves only the Philadelphia Liberty and Arizona Outlaws left to write about. With the Chicago Butchers trading away their future to win now, it was expected that Philadelphia would left on the outside looking in. On the other side, we have Arizona starting their off-season vacation early. With just a general big picture look at the season, I feel like Arizona was robbed. Arizona had a few unfortunate losses which were decided by a single score. Had even one of these games gone in their favor, we’d be looking at San Jose missing out while Arizona gets routed by Orange County. It’s hard to assume Arizona even wanted a playoff berth this season. They were hopefully setting themselves up for a top draft pick to acquire many people in this epic draft class. With the Outlaws owning 9 picks in the first 5 rounds, they should be able to get young pieces and be back in contention within a couple of seasons. In hindsight, it’s hard to say that either team missing the playoffs were robbed considering their pick values now but I would still give the unfortunate edge to Arizona.
Rivalry:
Playing a 2nd season in the DSFL I don’t feel like I have a rival. I feel like a man among boys in this league. One might want to compare me to Dorfus Jimbo Jr or Chip Otle but that is humorous. Otle does lead the DSFL with tackles for loss at 25. Noble Jr. is right behind him with 24 and Jimbo Jr. is trailing with 23. When looking at sacks, both Noble Jr and Jimbo Jr are tied with 9 each while Otle has a measly 4. When looking at these stats, it seems like these 3 players are evenly matched. Besides Otle’s sack count be halved by the other 2, this is a close race. What makes this impressive and give the nod to Noble Jr is the fact that he’s playing will approximately 80 TPE less applied than these other 2. This puts him below even top earning S22 defensive players in which many have already eclipsed the 200 TPE threshold. Only time will tell if this small DSFL preview will translate to bigger things on the NSFL stage. With all 3 likely to be called up next season, we’ll be able to answer for sure who is ready for primetime.
Armchair GM:
At this point, picking on Chicago is low hanging fruit but I’m not above it. While I was a short-tenured co-GM for the Butchers, it could be said that I contributed to this downward spiral. When I joined I had a multi season plan in place to turn Chicago around. Unfortunately, real time was going to demand more of my time so Valor made the executive decision to replace me and the rest is history. I laid out my plan to a couple players then and the general idea would still work today. The target is to draft as many young players from the S21 and S22 draft as possible. Players that are eager and hungry to play. These are also players who have spent time together in DSFL so rapport is already there. Instead of building a new LR, you are essentially adopting an existing once. Considering you would be terrible, you should have top pick in each draft. Adding anywhere from five to ten actives from each draft would give you a complete roster all growing together. They would all be getting playing time from day 1 which is what every DSFL prospect wants. By S24 or S25, you would have 12+ players hitting 1000 TPE simultaneously and would be a competing force in the league. Unfortunately, this means you have to endure a season or two of losing while you acquire these players. Instead, Chicago has endured the bad seasons but have to picks or player assets to show for it so the cycle will continue for at least a few more seasons.
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