(S29) PT 2 - Double Trouble?

[Troen]

We're now a quarter of the way through the season and the league is abuzz with with both surprises and disappointments through the first four games. Which team do you think is currently overachieving and which team do you think still has a chance to bounce back as the season progresses and why?

Addressing these in reverse order, I'd like to think that Austin clearly has a chance to bounce back. We're theoretically only a slightly diminished team with a few players hit from regression vs. last year, and so I think that opening the season 1-3 is a much worse showing than how good we could be performing. The ISFL season is short enough that the stronger teams don't always win and it might be hard to make up the ground we're behind, but I expect the team to finish better than 4-12. Every game we lost (or won) has been a 1 score game and all the losses have been less than 7 points, so we're clearly competing rather than getting blown out. We just need to figure out how to do a better job at stopping the run and I think we can recover.

As far as overperforming, I'm currently thinking that San Jose is likely to regress. They had a 3-1 record while winning every game by a field goal. Their passing game has been really good, but their passing defense has been problematic and I don't think that's a recipe to keep winning games. And for their two home wins against the Silverbacks and Secondline, they were solidly behind on time of posession as well. I just have to imagine that will catch up with them at some point. A lot of the season hasn't gone as I thought it was going to so far, though, so there's clearly not guarantees here.