(S29) PT 2 - Double Trouble?

[mithrandir]

It seems to me that the San Jose Sabercats have greatly overperformed this season so far. They are 4-2-1, third in the ASFC, much better than the numbers suggest they ought to be. With 180 points allowed, San Jose has a negative point differential of -13. That’s worse than 4-3 Orange County (+8), 3-4 New Orleans (-5), and 4-3 Yellowknife (+16). Additionally, San Jose does not have many impressive wins. They’ve won three games by three points, and the only game they have won by more is against lowly Honolulu. Meanwhile, in their toughest game, a road game at Arizona, they lost 45-10. They have not been good on offense, with 11 TDs to 8 INTs passing, and the fewest rushing yards in the league, despite have a good running back in Lackson. They also have struggled a bit on defense to force turnovers, with the second fewest forced fumbles (5) and the fewest interceptions (3) in the league. Given that they have not been particularly good in any area, and that all their wins have been close games or wins over bad teams, I expect that they will regress a bit in the coming weeks and finish closer to 6 or 7 wins than 9 or 10.